Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction 8/25/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 25th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 72-59 this year after they won game one by a score of 4-2 on Monday night. Boston trailed 2-1 in the seventh inning, but they scored the last three runs to escape with the win. The Red Sox recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Gasper, who went 2-2 with one RBI. Suarez allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Miller got the win and Chapman picked up the save. Prior to this series, Boston swept the Giants in three games and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. 

This season, Boston has a 3.50 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 593 runs with a .251 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 17 home runs and 62 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Payton Tolle, who is 8-6 with a 3.08 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 120.0 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 67-65 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-4 last night. Miami led 1-0 in the second inning, but they scored just once in the last seven innings for the loss. The Marlins recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Lopez, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Alcantara allowed six hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Fairbanks picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Miami swept the Nationals in three games, but lost all three against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 575 runs with a .249 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 59 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Tyler Phillips, who is 3-6 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 100.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last five home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Red Sox’s last three road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Marlins’ last nine night games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of Payton Tolle’s last seven appearances as a starter.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 games at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Griffin Conine has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last five games at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Sogard has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games.
• Payton Tolle has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites.

Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction

Boston comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have scored 24 runs in their last five games. The Red Sox are 38-27 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 41-26 at home. Miami has won three of their last four games, but they were awful with RISP on Monday. The Marlins are starting Phillips, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Tolle has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Red Sox -1 here.

David Racey's Pick: Red Sox -1