Red Sox vs Brewers Prediction 5/26/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 26th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 27-28 this year after they split four games with the Orioles by scores of 19-5, 6-5, 1-2, and 1-5. In their game four loss, Boston allowed the first five runs in the game, but did score in the ninth inning to avoid the shutout. The Red Sox recorded 10 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Toro, who went 2-4 with one RBI in the loss. Boston started Buehler, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Weissert and Kelly both allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Mets, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that. Boston has lost three of their last five games, and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 267 runs with a .254 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Rafael Devers has led Boston with 12 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Alex Bregman (IL) has added 11 home runs and 35 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 4-3 with a 1.98 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 68.1 innings pitched this year. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 26-28 this season after they split four games with the Pirates by scores of 8-5, 5-6, 1-2, and 6-5. In their game four win, Milwaukee led 3-0 in the first inning, but they needed three runs in the eighth inning to get the win. The Brewers recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Durbin, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Henderson, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Koenig picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Orioles, but lost two out of three against the Twins before that. Milwaukee has won five of its last eight games, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 232 runs with a .233 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with nine home runs and 30 RBIs, while Rhys Hoskins has added seven home runs and 29 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Chad Patrick, who is 2-4 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 53.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Brewers

• The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 11 day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last five day games following a road win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 road games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Red Sox’s last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Brewers’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games at American Family Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against the Red Sox.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games at American Family Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances at American Family Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine games against the Red Sox.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances at American Family Field against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Connor Wong has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded a Single in each of the Red Sox’s last five road games against NL opponents.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (70).
• The Brewers rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (199).
• The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (492).
• The Red Sox are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

Red Sox vs Brewers Prediction 

Both of these teams are coming off a four-game series that they split over the weekend, but Milwaukee is coming off a win on Sunday. The Brewers are 15-10 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 11-14 on the road. Boston erupted for 25 runs in the first two games against Baltimore, but scored just one in each of the last two. The Red Sox are starting Crochet, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. The Brewers are going with Patrick, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Boston’s offense is a concern after how they finished their last series, but I have to side with Crochet on the mound here. 

David Racey's Pick: Red Sox ML