Miami Marlins (1-1) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (1-1)
Game Info: Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 4:10 pm (loanDepot park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +105 / Pittsburgh Pirates -125 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins meet on Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Pittsburgh Pirates will start Bailey Falter here, and Falter was 8-9 with a 4.43 ERA and 97 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against the Marlins, Falter is 3-0 with a 4.38 ERA and 14 strikeouts. Valente Bellozo will start this one for Miami and was 3-4 with a 3.67 ERA and 44 strikeouts last season. This will be Bellozo’s second career start against Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh Pirates Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to take the series lead after evening the series up at one win apiece, thanks to a 4-3 win over Miami on Friday. After this series, Pittsburgh will continue on the road to take on the Tampa Bay Rays.
Pirates Looking To Move Ahead In Series After Getting In Win Column
Oneil Cruz led the way with a pair of RBIs, going 2 for 4 at the dish with a two-run homer, while Andrew McCutchen had a double and an RBI. Adam Frazier added an RBI as well to cap off the scoring for the Pirates in the winning effort. Joey Bart, Kebryan Hayes, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa each had a base hit as well for the Pirates in the win. Mitch Keller got the win after allowing one run on five hits with four strikeouts over six innings of work. David Bednar had a dicey 9th inning but closed the door for his first save of the season.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six games against the Pirates following a loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Pirates following a loss.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of the Pirates’ last three road games against NL East opponents.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances at LoanDepot Park.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances at LoanDepot Park.
- Jack Suwinski has scored a run in each of his last six appearances with the Pirates as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks T1st in the league in Steals (2) this season.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins will be out to bounce back after falling flat in Friday’s rematch last time out. After this series, the Miami Marlins will welcome the New York Mets to town.
Marlins Looking To Retake Series Lead
Otto Lopez led the charge with a two-run home run, while Graham Pauley had a double and an RBI. Xavier Edwards added a 2 for 4 day at the dish while Matt Mervis, Griffin Conine, and Derek Hill each had a base hit as well in the losing effort. Connor Gillispie gave up four runs, three earned, on four hits with four walks and four strikeouts, over five innings of work in taking the loss to fall to 0-1 on the year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Pirates have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances.
- Otto Lopez has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last four games against the Pirates.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last eight home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Otto Lopez ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (1) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the last six games between the Pirates and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Pirates’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Prediction
I’m on the under here. I still think that the Miami Marlins are going to boast one of the worst lineups in baseball this season, and I truly think that Miami is headed for a 100-loss season. This team was bad against left-handed pitching last season, which should bode well for Bailey Falter here. On the other side, the Pirates weren’t great against righties in their own right, and Bellozo was a capable option for the Marlins last year. All in all, I think this ends up being lower-scoring, so give me the under here.