| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Pirates | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 33-28 | 27-35 |
| Spread | -1.5 110 | +1.5 -132 |
| Moneyline | -156 | +129 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-114) | Under 7.5 (-105) |
| Where | Daikin Park, Houston, Texas | |
| When | Wednesday, June 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 27-35 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL West. They have a 13-17 home record and are coming off a 6-10 home defeat against the Pirates. They will face the Athletics and the Angels next.
The Astros have a .243 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .408 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .305 batting average, also adding a team-high 21 home runs. Christian Walker leads the team in RBI with 44.
Spencer Arrighetti (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and he has a 7-1 record, 1.34 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 33-28 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 15-13 road record and are coming off a 10-6 road win against the Astros. They will face the Braves and the Dodgers next.
The Pirates have a .255 batting average this season, .338 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .312 batting average. Oneil Cruz leads the team in RBI with 44, while Brandon Lowe adds a team-high 15 home runs.
Paul Skenes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 6-5 record, 2.89 ERA and 0.86 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: June 3, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti Record this season: 7-1 ERA: 1.34
- Home Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against Pirates: –
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Pirates have lost each of their last five night games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home night games.
- The Astros have won the first inning in each of their last five Wednesday home games against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes Record this season: 6-5 ERA: 2.89
- Road Record: 3-2
- Last 5 against Astros: 0-1
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The Astros have lost six of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Astros.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games against the Pirates following a loss.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last eight night games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last nine Wednesday games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Pirates’ last eight road games against American League opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in four of the Astros’ last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Meyers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (21) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Oneil Cruz ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank T29th in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (22).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (539).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).
Pirates vs Astros Prediction
The Pirates are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Astros and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Houston.
In this Pirates vs Astros Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -155 road favorites. The Pirates are being overvalued in this spot because Skenes takes the mound, while Arrighetti has been excellent for the Astros with a dominating 7-1 record and a better ERA than Skenes. The Pirates are rolling right now, so it’s hard to fade them, even for a decent plus money price. I will take a look at the total and go under in the first five innings and trust those two pitchers to remain hot.