| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Pirates | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 52-48 | 52-48 |
| Where | Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio | |
| When | Sunday, July 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Guardians Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, July 19th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 52-47 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL Central. They have a 25-23 home record and are coming off a 5-3 home win against the Pirates. They will face the Twins and the Rays next.
The Cleveland Guardians have a .230 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .369 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Chase DeLauter is the team’s best hitter with a .277 batting average, adding a team-high 47 RBI. Angel Martinez adds a team-high 11 home runs.
Tanner Bibee (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cleveland Guardians, and he has a 3-9 record, 3.90 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 51-48 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 24-24 away record and are coming off a 3-5 road loss against the Guardians. They will face the Yankees and the Cubs next.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .263 batting average this season, .341 OBP and .427 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 65, adding a team-high 21 home runs.
Paul Skenes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he has an 8-8 record, 3.57 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: July 19, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Joey Cantillo Record this season: 8-4 ERA: 3.56
- Home Record: 4-1
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Pirates.
- The Pirates have lost each of their last three games as favorites against the Guardians following a loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against the Pirates.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes Record this season: 8-8 ERA: 3.57
- Road Record: 3-4
- Last 5 against Guardians: 0-1
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have lost six of their last seven games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have won the first inning in six of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last six games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last seven road games against AL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the last 11 day games between the Pirates and Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Manzardo has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games as underdogs against the Pirates.
- Joey Cantillo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- Joey Cantillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games against opponents that held a winning record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit at least one home run in four of the Pirates’ last five day games.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.309) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (373).
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (373).
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (903).
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (903).
Pirates vs Guardians Prediction
The Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Pirates, having won two of their last three meetings in Cleveland.
In this Pirates vs Guardians Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -125 road favorites. That is the best price you are going to get with Skenes in the whole year and I will gladly take it. He has been going through a rough patch lately, but has not given up more than two runs in seven of his last nine starts. Cantillo has been excellent for the Guardians but he will have trouble against the second-best offense in baseball. Take the Pirates to win in a discount price.