Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction 3/29/25 MLB Picks

Chris Ruffolo

9 months ago

Washington Nationals (0-1) vs Philadelphia Phillies (1-0)

Game Info: Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 4:05 pm (Nationals Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +136 / Philadelphia Phillies -162 — Over/Under: 8.5

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals meet on Saturday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will start Jesus Luzardo here, and Luzardo was 3-6 with a 5.00 ERA and 58 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against Washington, Luzardo is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 22 strikeouts. Jake Irvin will get the start for Washington here and was 10-14 with a 4.41 ERA and 156 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Irvin is 0-3 with a 5.93 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies will be out to add on to their 7-3 win in extra innings from Thursday’s series and season opener. After this series, the Phillies will head home for their opening series against the Colorado Rockies.

Phillies Looking To Win Series Ahead Of Sunday’s Finale

Alec Bohm and J.T. Realmuto each had two RBIs, with Bohm going 2 for 5 with a double, while Realmuto added a triple. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper each had a solo home run, while Max Kepler added a double. Nick Castellanos also chipped in a base knock as well to cap off the offense for the Phillies in the winning effort. Zack Wheeler allowed one run on two hits with eight strikeouts over six innings of work in the start, not factoring in the decision. Jose Alvarado got the win in relief to improve to 1-0 on the year.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Nationals have lost each of their last five games after going to extra innings.
The Phillies have won seven of their last eight day games following an extra-innings win.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games after going to extra innings.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Max Kepler has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Max Kepler has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Nationals.
Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Saturday appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Jesus Luzardo has recorded five or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 Saturday day appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
Kyle Schwarber ranks T9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.500) this season.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals will be looking to bounce back after starting the year on the wrong foot with their loss to the Phils on Thursday. After this series, Washington will head on the road for a series with the Toronto Blue Jays.

Nationals Looking To Even Set Up At One Win Apiece

Keibert Ruiz went 2 for 4 with a solo home run in the loss, while Luis Garcia Jr. went 2 for 4 with an RBI, and CJ Abrams added an RBI as well in the loss. Nathaniel Lowe added a base hit as well to cap off the offense for Washington in the defeat. The rest of the Nationals, including Abrams, who went 0 for 5 at the dish in the loss, went 0 for 21 with 9 strikeouts and went just 2 for 11 with runners in scoring position in the loss. MacKenzie Gore went six innings of one-hit shutout baseball with 13 strikeouts, not factoring in the decision. Colin Poche took the loss in relief, falling to 0-1 on the year as a result.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
The Nationals have won seven of their last eight Saturday day games as underdogs against National League opponents.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
The Nationals have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 Saturday day games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

Keibert Ruiz has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Phillies after not playing the previous day.
Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Phillies.
Keibert Ruiz has scored a run in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances.
Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Keibert Ruiz ranks T9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.500) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Phillies’ last nine games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Nationals’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.