Seattle Mariners (57-53) vs Philadelphia Phillies (65-43)
Game Info: Friday, August 2, 2024 at 9:40 pm (T-Mobile Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -120 / Philadelphia Phillies +100 — Over/Under: 7.5
In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 2nd at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:
- The Phillies recent form and recent player performance
- The Mariners recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle
- Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and Seattle
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Philadelphia and Seattle
Phillies are Slumping
The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-43 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Philadelphia is coming off of a series loss against the Yankees, where they lost all three games by scores of 14-4, 7-6, and 6-5. Prior to that series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Guardians, lost two out of three against the Twins, and lost two out of three against the Pirates. Philadelphia is 3-10 in their last 13 games, but they continue to lead the NL East.
The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 527 runs with a .255 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .274 with 24 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has allowed 27 runs in their last three games.
Mariners Trying to Keep Offensive Momentum
The Seattle Mariners are 57-53 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Seattle is coming off of a series loss against Boston, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Mariners won all three against the White Sox, lost all three against the Angels, and lost two out of three against the Astros. Seattle is 5-10 in their last 15 games and they are battling with Houston in the AL West.
The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .221 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 431 runs with a .218 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .215 with 23 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has had issues scoring runs for most of the season, but they have scored at least six runs in five of their last six games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Tyler Phillips, who is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP over 25.0 innings pitched this year. Phillips has allowed five earned runs in his last four outings (25.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 4-1 with a 2.35 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over 53.2 innings pitched this season. Woo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but three of those outings failed to go five innings.
Why the Phillies will beat the Mariners
- The Phillies have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Mariners.
- The Mariners have lost each of their last six Friday games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the Mariners’ last 12 games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mariners’ last eight home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Phillies’ last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Justin Turner has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mariners’ last four night games.
- Cal Raleigh has scored at least one run in each of the Mariners’ last five games as favorites.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in 19 of his last 20 appearances in night games.
- Josh Rojas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games against AL West opponents.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- J.T. Realmuto has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last six night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Philadelphia has had one of the best records in all of baseball for a good portion of this season, but they have really struggled over the last few weeks and the Braves are starting to close the gap in the NL East. The Phillies are 27-22 on the road, while Seattle is 31-23 at home. Seattle has had one of the best pitching staffs in the MLB, but their offense has let them down for most of the season, with the exception of their last six games. I know the Phillies are struggling to pickup wins, but I don’t trust the Seattle offense and Woo has not provided much depth for them recently. My Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for Philadelphia to win.