Pittsburgh Pirates (23-40) vs Philadelphia Phillies (37-25)
Game Info: Friday, June 6, 2025 at 6:40 pm (PNC Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +114 / Philadelphia Phillies -135 — Over/Under: 9
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Friday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Joe Ross for the start here, and Ross is 2-1 with a 4.34 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Pittsburgh, Ross is 1-2 with a 2.82 ERA and 23 strikeouts. Bailey Falter will get the start for the Pirates and is 4-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Falter’s second career start against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from a 9-1 loss at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays last time out to slip to 37-25 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a series against the Chicago Cubs.
Phillies Drop 6 Of Their Last 7
Nick Castellanos has 67 hits with 15 doubles, including 6 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 59 hits with a team-high 19 home runs and 45 RBIs, but also has a team-high 68 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 9 home runs, and 34 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 74 hits with a team-high 16 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 12 doubles and Bryson Stott has 6 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers, and 26 RBIs, while Stott also has 11 stolen bases this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last six road games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have lost six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games as road favorites.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded an RBI in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games as road favorites.
- Joe Ross has recorded two or more strikeouts in 13 of his 14 previous appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 4th in the league in Home Runs (19) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this one looking to bounce back from their 8-2 loss at the hands of the Houston Astros last time out to improve to 23-40 on the year. After this series, the Pirates will square off against the Miami Marlins in a series.
Pirates Split Their Last 8 Games
Bryan Reynolds has 55 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs, and 34 RBIs while also leading the Pirates with 70 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 12 home runs and 28 RBIs with 22 stolen bases, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 53 hits with 9 stolen bases. Emmanuel Valdez also has a pair of triples this season. Tommy Pham has 4 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 46 hits with 9 doubles, and KeBryan Hayes has 49 hits with 18 RBIs and 6 stolen bases.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against National League opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two games against NL opponents.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates’ last four home games against NL opponents.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Friday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last six games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jared Triolo has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
- Oneil Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (22) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last six home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I’m on the Pirates here. Bailey Falter’s pitching really well right now, and this Phillies offense just has not been firing on all cylinders as of late. The Pirates also have the better bullpen over the last week, and I just feel like the value in this game is on the Pirates here. Give me Pittsburgh in this one to draw first blood.