| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 53-43 | 44-51 |
| Spread | -1.5 166 | +1.5 -203 |
| Moneyline | -102 | -118 |
| Total | Over 7 (-114) | Under 7 (-105) |
| Where | Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan | |
| When | Sunday, July 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 44-51 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL Central. They have a 27-22 home record and are coming off a 2-4 home loss against the Phillies. They will face the Angels and the Cubs next.
The Detroit Tigers have a .236 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 60, adding a team-high 19 home runs.
Tarik Skubal (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Detroit Tigers, and he has a 5-4 record, 3.06 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 53-43 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 28-22 away record and are coming off a 4-2 road win against the Tigers. They will face the Mets and the Dodgers next.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a .236 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 58, adding a team-high 32 home runs.
Zack Wheeler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he has a 9-1 record, 2.28 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers Betting Trends: July 12, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal Record this season: 5-4 ERA: 3.06
- Home Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Phillies: 2-0
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last six day games following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Tigers’ last seven games.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as home favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler Record this season: 9-1 ERA: 2.28
- Road Record: 5-1
- Last 5 against Tigers: 1-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have won 11 of their last 14 games against the Tigers.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against the Tigers at Comerica Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs against the Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Tigers’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Tarik Skubal’s last nine appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in six of the Tigers’ last seven games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 12 games as home favorites.
- Kevin McGonigle ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Derek Hill has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against the Tigers.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (31).
- The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (19).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (935).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
Phillies vs Tigers Prediction
The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Tigers and are 3-2 in their last 5 visits in Detroit.
In this Phillies vs Tigers Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -120 home favorites. We got ourselves a big pitchers duel in this game as Tarik Skubal goes up against Zack Wheeler. Both pitchers have a combined 5.34 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP and both have been in excellent form, having given up one run in four of their last five starts combined. The Tigers have the 11th-best bullpen in baseball and are just 24th against righties in the last 10 days and both teams combined for just six runs yesterday and are 10-4 to the under in their last 14 games combined. Take the under 7 in this one.