Colorado Rockies (8-39) vs Philadelphia Phillies (29-18)
Game Info: Tuesday, May 20, 2025 at 8:40 pm (Coors Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies +230 / Philadelphia Phillies -285 — Over/Under: 10.5
In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 20, at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies (29-18, 12-10 Away) won seven straight series, including the last two against the Cardinals and Pirates at home. After sweeping the Pirates, the Phillies traveled to Denver and beat the Colorado Rockies 9-3 in Game 1. Trea Turner, Bryce Harper, Alec Bohm, and Edmundo Sosa led the team with two RBI apiece, while Christopher Sanchez pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on five hits with seven strikeouts and no walks. Joe Ross was credited with the win.
This year, the Phillies average 4.79 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .260/.337/.407 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.76 ERA (14th) and 1.22 WHIP (12th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .257 batting average, 16 home runs, and 36 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Jesus Luzardo, who is 4-0 in nine starts this season, with a 2.00 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 54.0 innings.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (8-39, 5-17 Home) were close to securing their first series win of the season but fell short to the Diamondbacks in the rubber match. After that, the Rockies opened the current series against the Phillies at home with a 9-3 defeat. Ezequiel Tovar led the offense with two RBI, while Kyle Freeland pitched for 5.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on seven hits with six strikeouts and two walks. Seth Halvorsen took the loss.
This season, the Rockies average 3.30 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .217/.284/.361 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.85 ERA (30th) and 1.61 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .292 batting average, seven home runs, and 29 RBI this season.
Antonio Senzatela will take the mound for the Rockies on Tuesday. The 30-year-old right-hander has a 1-7 record in nine starts this year with a 6.39 ERA and 1.99 WHIP in 43.2 innings.
Why the Phillies will cover
- The Phillies have won each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Rockies have lost 12 of their last 13 night games at Coors Field following a loss.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Coors Field against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in 16 of their last 19 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rockies’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rockies’ last eight games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.85).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (306).
- The Phillies rank 5th in the league for batting average this season (.260).
- The Phillies rank 5th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction
The Phillies won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last four. Philly covered the run line in each of those four victories, and I am backing them to do it again on Tuesday. Antonio Senzatela is struggling this year; he allowed 4+ runs in each of his last four starts and allowed a .362 BA in 80 at-bats against the Phillies in his career. Jesus Luzardo, on the other hand, is Philadelphia’s best pitcher so far in the season. He surrendered only six runs in his previous five starts, and the Rockies are batting a .206 BA in 399 at-bats against southpaws. That said, I expect the Phillies to win big here.