| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-18 | 19-9 |
| Spread | +1.5 -143 | -1.5 119 |
| Moneyline | +149 | -181 |
| Total | Over 8 (-117) | Under 8 (-102) |
| Where | Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia | |
| When | Sunday, April 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, April 26th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 19-9 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 9-5 home record and are coming off a 5-8 home loss against the Phillies. Their previous three games were a 5-3 home win against the Phillies, a 7-2 and an 8-6 road win against the Nationals.
The Braves have a .273 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .450 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average. Drake Baldwin leads the team in RBI with 24, and Matt Olson adds a team‑high 7 home runs.
Chris Sale (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 4-1 record, 2.79 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 9-18 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 4-8 away record and are coming off an 8-5 road win against the Braves. Their previous three games were a 3-5 road loss against the Braves, a 7-8 and a 2-7 road loss against the Cubs.
The Phillies have a .224 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .368 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 5.08 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Bryce Harper leads the team in RBI with 18, and Kyle Schwarber adds a team‑high 8 home runs.
Aaron Nola (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 1-2 record, 5.06 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: April 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale Record this season: 4-1 ERA: 2.79
- Home Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against Phillies: 2-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last eight games against the Braves following a road win.
- The Braves have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday games against the Phillies at Truist Park.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 5.06
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Braves: 2-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Braves have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Phillies have won eight of their last nine day games against the Braves following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Phillies and Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games at Truist Park after going to extra innings.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in six of their last seven games.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last seven home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances.
- Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 home games.
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three road games against NL East opponents.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
- Aaron Nola has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
The Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Phillies, and both teams are tied 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Under is 9-2 in their last 11 meetings.
In this Phillies vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -170 home favorites. The Phillies finally managed to win one in the 10th inning of yesterday’s game but with Sale on the mound for the Braves, I seriously doubt that they will win a second straight. Nola has been terrible this season with a 5+ ERA and has 3+ earned runs in four of his last five starts and he goes up against Atlanta’s best offense. The Braves also have the 6th-best bullpen in baseball and I like them in a bounce-back spot at home today. Take the Braves on the moneyline.