Orioles vs Brewers Prediction 5/19/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 19th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 15-30 this year after they lost all three games against the Nationals by scores of 3-4, 6-10, and 4-10. In their game three loss, Baltimore allowed the first eight runs in the game and could never get back within striking distance for the loss. The Orioles recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mullins, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Baltimore started Eflin, who allowed 10 hits and eight earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Baker and Strowd each allowed an earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles lost all three against the Twins, but did win two out of three against the Angels before that. Baltimore has lost six games in a row, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 5.52 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP and a .276 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 169 runs with a .231 batting average and a .298 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with nine home runs and 27 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added seven home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 3-5 with a 5.36 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 50.1 innings pitched this year. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 22-25 this season after they lost two out of three against Minnesota by scores of 0-3, 0-7, and 5-2. In their game three win, Milwaukee had their lead cut to 4-2 in the seventh inning, but they added an insurance run in the eighth to seal the win. The Brewers recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Collins and Frelick, who both had two RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Peralta, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Megill picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Brewers lost two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Rays. Milwaukee has lost seven of its last ten games, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 198 runs with a .228 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Jackson Chourio has led Milwaukee with seven home runs and 25 RBIs, while Christian Yelich has added seven home runs and 26 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Quinn Priester, who is 1-2 with a 4.59 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 33.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Brewers will beat the Orioles 

• The Orioles have lost each of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have won seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Brewers’ last six games at American Family Field.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at American Family Field.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Orioles’ last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Brewers’ last seven games against AL East opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last eight games as home favorites.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four games as home favorites.
• Brice Turang has scored a run in each of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances at American Family Field against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Orioles’ last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• Ramon Laureano has scored a run in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one hit in 19 of his last 20 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jordan Westburg has recorded at least one Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at American Family Field against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Brewers at American Family Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank T27th in the league for home runs this season (37).
• The Brewers rank T27th in the league for doubles this season (59).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.276).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for walks this season (126).

Orioles vs Brewers Prediction 

Baltimore limps into this series trying to snap a six-game losing streak, but they are just 7-15 on the road, and they have been very disappointing this year. The Orioles just allowed 24 runs to Washington in three games, and they will start Kremer, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last five starts. Milwaukee has also struggled recently, but they did win on Sunday, and they are 13-9 at home. The Brewers are going with Priester, who has been pretty solid this year, but did have two horrible starts against the Cubs and Cardinals a few weeks ago. I don’t love either pitcher, but I will definitely fade the Orioles until they show me some signs of life. Take Milwaukee here. 

David Racey's Pick: Brewers ML