Philadelphia Phillies (65-39) vs New York Yankees (61-45)
Game Info: Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -125 / New York Yankees +106 — Over/Under:
The New York Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance
The New York Yankees recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees
Recent betting trends in games played between the Phillies and Yankees
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Phillies vs Yankees game
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Over the weekend the Yankees took on the rival Boston Red Sox. New York split the first two games of that set, then on Sunday the Yankees powered out an 8-2 win. On Monday versus the Phillies, the Yankees posted 14 team hits in a 14-4 win. Luis Gil put up 5.1 innings and three earned in the start.
For the starter gig Tuesday the Yankees are going with Gerrit Cole. This year Cole is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA in seven starts. Cole is 148-77 with a 3.21 ERA in 307 career games.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Over on the Phillies’ side, they played the Cleveland Guardians in their last set. Philadelphia won Saturday but lost the other pair in that series. On Monday Philly gave up seven runs in the final three innings. Starter Zack Wheeler managed 5.0 innings with seven earned runs. It’ll be Aaron Nola in the starter role for the Phillies on Tuesday. This year Nola is 11-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 21 starts. Nola is 101-75 with a 3.70 ERA in 256 career starts.
Yankees vs Phillies Pick Injury Notes
Phillies RP Dylan Covey (shoulder) pitched one-third of an inning in his first rehab appearance Sunday.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Yankees’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Phillies’ last seven night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Yankees and Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in 18 of his last 19 home appearances against AL East opponents.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Bryson Stott has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Phillies as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Yankees.
- J.T. Realmuto has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against the Yankees.
- Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Phillies.
- Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Gerrit Cole has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Phillies.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents.
New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I might take a stab on the Phillies here. Nola had a spotty start in Pittsburgh on July 19 with four earned in 5.0 innings. He came back strong with a no-decision on 6.0 innings and one earned in his last appearance, though. As for Cole, he was doing well for a couple of starts before giving up six earned in 5.2 innings versus the Mets his last time up.
On Monday the Phillies held things together relatively well until the fifth inning. Every pitcher gave up at least two earned runs in a rough performance across the board. It’s important for Nola to rise to the occasion in game two. I’m probably not touching this one.