Philadelphia Phillies (65-39) vs New York Yankees (61-45)
Game Info: Monday, July 29, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -154 / New York Yankees +129 — Over/Under: 9
The New York Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Monday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance
The New York Yankees recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees
Recent betting trends in games played between the Phillies and Yankees
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Phillies vs Yankees game
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The Yankees played the rival Boston Red Sox over the weekend. New York split the first two games 9-7 (loss) and 11-8 (win). In the Sunday rubber match the Yankees powered out an 8-2 win.
In the starter slot for Monday the Yankees will go with Luis Gil. This year Gil is 10-5 with a 3.10 ERA in 20 starts. Over 27 career starts Gil is 11-6 with a 3.26 ERA.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Over on the Phillies’ side, they played the Cleveland Guardians in their last series. Philadelphia also split their first two 3-1 (loss) and 8-0 (win). On Sunday the Phillies took a tough loss 4-3. Kolby Allard went 4.0 innings with three earned runs in the defeat.
Zack Wheeler will start for the Phillies on Monday. This year Wheeler is 10-4 with a 2.55 ERA in 20 starts. Wheeler is 97-67 over his career with a 3.37 ERA in 247 starts.
Yankees vs Phillies Pick Injury Notes
Yankees 3B Jon Berti (calf) has been performing baseball activities but he’s not back up to full speed.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Phillies’ last six night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Yankees and Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of the Phillies’ last five games at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 home appearances against AL East opponents.
- J.T. Realmuto has scored at least one run in each of his four previous appearances against the Yankees at Citizens Bank Park.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Yankees.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in 18 of his last 19 home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last three games against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Aaron Judge has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Yankees’ last four road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four games.
- Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in five of the Yankees’ last six road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- Anthony Volpe has scored at least one run in nine of the Yankees’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (97).
- The Philadelphia Phillies rank T3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (940).
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (432).
- The New York Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (155).
New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’ll go with the Phillies. Wheeler should be able to set the table pretty well here. In his last three starts combined Wheeler is 1-0 with three earned in 18.0 total innings. He’s coming off 7.0 clean frames in a no-decision versus the Twins.
On Sunday the Phillies had a 3-0 lead early in the game but couldn’t score after the third inning. Overall the pitching wasn’t horrible. That said, Philly used a ton of arms (six) to get through the finale. Philadelphia needs a rebound Monday.