| MATCHUP | New York Yankees | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 28-18 | 19-26 |
| Spread | -1.5 158 | +1.5 -193 |
| Moneyline | -107 | -112 |
| Total | Over 8 (-117) | Under 8 (-103) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Sunday, May 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 28-18 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Rays next. The New York Yankees are batting .236 on the season and have a .331 OBP, and a .431 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 45 hits and 30 RBI while Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger have combined for 86 hits and 60 RBI.
Elmer Rodriguez gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s first career game against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 19-26 on the year and play the Marlins and Nationals next. The New York Mets are batting .226 on the season, have a .292 OBP, and have a .347 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 38 hits and 18 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 70 hits and 27 RBI.
Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 3-3 with a 3.10 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. This will be Peralta’s second career game against the New York Yankees.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have won five of their last seven games as home underdogs against the Yankees.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the last 14 games between the Yankees and Mets at Citi Field.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost each of their last three day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Thirteen of the Yankees’ last 15 games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Yankees and Mets at Citi Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has been hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight day games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mets’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against former teams.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against former teams.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last three day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Aaron Judge ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for hits this season (338).
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (59).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (36).
New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction
The Yankees are the more trustworthy team and probably should be favored, but I’m not getting behind Rodriguez and his 5.19 ERA and 2.08 WHIP, 8.2 innings or not. Peralta has been solid for the Mets through 49.1 frames with a 3.10 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. He’s averaging a strikeout per inning. This has been the best week of the season for the Mets and with the pitching edge, I’m going to anticipate it continues. Give me the Mets.