Washington Nationals (12-14) vs New York Mets (18-8)
Game Info: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 4:05 pm (Nationals Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +150 / New York Mets -180 — Over/Under: 9.5
In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 26, at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (18-8, 6-7 Away) were on an excellent run of seven straight victories after sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies at home, but couldn’t make it eight in a row. The Mets lost Game 1 of the series against the Washington Nationals on the road despite taking a 4-3 lead in the 8th inning. Mark Vientos led the offense with three RBI, while Kodai Senga pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on six hits with five strikeouts and two walks. Ryne Stanek took the loss.
This season, the Mets average 4.19 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .234/.309/.394 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.45 ERA (1st) and 1.20 WHIP (9th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .333 batting average, six home runs, and 26 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Mets is Clay Holmes, who is 2-1 in five starts this season, with a 3.16 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 25.2 innings.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals (12-14, 8-5 Home) are playing well at the moment; they won five of the previous seven games. After returning home with a series win over the White Sox, the Nationals beat the Orioles in two of three games and then secured a 5-4 victory over the Mets in Game 1 of this series. CJ Abrams and Jose Tena led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Jake Irvin pitched for 7.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on five hits with four strikeouts and one walk. Jorge Lopez was credited with the win.
This year, the Nationals average 4.23 runs per game (17th in the MLB) on a .238/.305/.386 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Nationals’ staff has a 4.66 ERA (26th) and 1.38 WHIP (24th). James Wood leads the Nationals with a .255 batting average, eight home runs, and 19 RBI this season.
Brad Lord will take the mound for the Nationals on Saturday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 0-2 record in three starts this year with a 4.73 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in 13.1 innings.
Why the Mets will beat the Nationals
- The Mets have won each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as home underdogs against the Mets following a home win.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Nationals’ last seven day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Mets’ last five day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the last 14 games between the Mets and Nationals.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.66).
- The Nationals rank 25th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.252).
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (74).
- The Mets rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (7).
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
The Mets won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including six of the last seven. Brad Lord is a rookie pitcher, and he will have problems against the Mets in this one. Lord still hasn’t completed five innings this season, and I don’t think he will on Saturday as well. Clay Holmes, on the other hand, allowed more than two runs just once this season, and I am backing him to keep the Nats at bay here. The Mets have the best pitching for a reason. I am backing the visitors to get the win and tie the series at 1-1.