| MATCHUP | New York Mets | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 73-85 | 78-80 |
| Spread | +1.5 -198 | -1.5 163 |
| Moneyline | +109 | -131 |
| Total | Over 8 (-118) | Under 8 (-102) |
| Where | Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas | |
| When | Thursday, September 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 73-85 on the year and play the Nationals next. The New York Mets are batting .239 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and have a .394 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 162 hits and 76 RBI, while Carson Benge and A.J. Ewing have combined for 267 hits and 102 RBI.
Zac Thornton gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 5-5 with a 3.40 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. This will be Thornton’s first career game against the Texas Rangers.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 78-80 on the year and play the Twins next. The Texas Rangers are batting .242 on the season, with a .318 OBP and a .396 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers’ pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Nimmo leads the Texas Rangers with 150 hits and 61 RBI, while Ezequiel Duran and Jake Burger have combined for 261 hits and 171 RBI.
Kumar Rocker gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 5-11 with a 4.47 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season. This will be Rocker’s first career game against the New York Mets.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Mets have lost seven of their last eight day games following a road win.
- The Rangers have won each of their last four day games following a home loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against AL West opponents following a road win.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a loss.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Rangers.
- The Rangers have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Thursday games at Globe Life Field.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road underdogs against the Rangers.
- The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents.
- The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Mets’ last 10 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Rangers’ last nine games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last four games between the Mets and Rangers.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four day games against AL opponents.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has hit at least one home run in three of the Rangers’ last five day games.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances at Globe Life Field against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Kumar Rocker has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Zach Thornton has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances in day games.
- Zach Thornton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as road underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rangers rank 25th in the league for steals this season (77).
- The Rangers rank 23rd in the league for hits this season (1264).
- The Mets rank 6th in the league for strikeouts this season (1419).
- The Mets rank 23rd in the league for batting average this season (.239).
New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Prediction
I want to back the Rangers in a game they need to win as they chase down a division title. I also want nothing to do with the Mets given the way they’ve screwed over bettors. However, the Mets have badly outplayed the Rangers in this series, and they have the edge on the bump. Thronton has a 3.40 ERA and 1.15 WHIP through 79.1 innings while Rocker has a 4.47 ERA and 1.42 WHIP through 143 innings. Rocker has a 4.87 ERA and a .256 allowed batting average in 85 home innings. Rocker isn’t somebody you want on the mound in a must-win game. I’ll take a shot with the Mets and the plus money.