Pittsburgh Pirates (41-45) vs New York Mets (42-43)
Game Info: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 1:35 pm (PNC Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +117 / New York Mets -137 — Over/Under:
The New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Sunday in MLB action from PNC Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The New York Mets recent form and player performance
The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates
Recent betting trends in games played between the Mets and Pirates
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Mets vs Pirates game
New York Mets Betting Preview
This past week the Mets took on the Washington Nationals. New York won the first two games of that set before falling 7-5 and 1-0 in the final pair. The Mets lost again 14-2 to the Pirates on Friday. In game two New York powered out a 5-2 win. Starter David Peterson lasted 4.1 innings with two earned runs.
Sean Manaea will take the starter role for the Mets on Sunday. So far this year Manaea is 5-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 16 starts. Over his 212 career games (182 starts), Manaea is 70-59 with a 4.07 ERA.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
Over on the Pirates’ side, they played the St. Louis Cardinals in their last series. Pittsburgh won 5-4 in the second game but otherwise lost 7-4 and 3-2 to drop the set. On Saturday in game two the Pirates were out-hit 11-6 in the defeat. Bailey Falter gave up three earned in 2.0 innings on five hits and two walks.
As starter for the Sunday game the Pirates are going with Luis Ortiz. This year Ortiz is 4-2 with a 3.27 ERA in 23 games (one start). Over 45 career games (20 starts), Ortiz is 9-9 with a 4.22 ERA. The Pirates will meet the Brewers after this series.
Mets vs Pirates Pick Injury Notes
Mets SP Kodai Senga (shoulder) is expected to make his next rehab start with Triple-A Syracuse Tuesday.
Pirates SP Jared Jones (lat strain) will be shut down for two weeks.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Mets’ last four games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last six games.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Pirates’ last six games at PNC Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 16 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last 16 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Oneil Cruz has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has hit at least one home run in four of the Pirates’ last six games at PNC Park against opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Sean Manaea has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Starling Marte has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances at PNC Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 road appearances against the Pirates.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Pirates.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Pirates.
- Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six Sunday day games.
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I’ll probably lean toward the Mets. Probably also not touching it. Manaea is on a decent run recently. Over his last three starts Manaea has four earned runs combined in 17.2 innings on nine hits and 10 walks. He’s 1-0 in that time.
On Saturday the Mets scored three runs in the third inning and never looked back. It was a pretty solid offensive effort, but Brandon Nimmo and Luis Torrens (three RBI) were the highlights at the plate. I think New York can keep it going if Manaea gets them off to a good start.