| MATCHUP | New York Mets | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 51-66 | 57-61 |
| Spread | +1.5 -172 | -1.5 142 |
| Moneyline | +118 | -142 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Saturday, August 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 57-61 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 29-29 home record and are coming off a 4-6 home loss against the Mets. They will face the Marlins and the Red Sox next.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .257 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .412 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .311 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 73, adding a team-high 24 home runs.
Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 4-8 record, 4.49 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 51-66 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 26-32 away record and are coming off a 6-4 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Braves and the Nationals next.
The New York Mets have a .235 batting average this season, .305 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Carson Benge is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 56, while Juan Soto adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Robert Stock (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-1 record, 1.80 ERA and 0.60 WHIP.
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: August 8, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler Record this season: 4-8 ERA: 4.49
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Mets: –
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against the Mets following a home loss.
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight Saturday road games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against the Mets.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Saturday games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Robert Stock Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 1.80
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0
Why the New York Mets will win
- The road team has won each of the Mets’ last seven games.
- The Pirates have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last seven games.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last five games between the Mets and Pirates at PNC Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last eight Saturday night games at PNC Park.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bubba Chandler has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Pirates as favorites.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 4th in the league in Hits (132) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Pirates.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1048).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1114).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (147).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.305).
Mets vs Pirates Prediction
The Mets are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Pirates but are 1-3 in their last 4 visits in Pittsburgh.
In this Mets vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -135 home favorites. The Pirates are unbackable at this point, with a 2-8 record in their last 10 games and I don’t trust Bubba Chandler to put them on the right track. The Mets have been red-hot with four consecutive wins where they have scored 31 total runs and will be facing a struggling Pirates offense that scores just 2.9 runs in their last 10 games. Take the Mets on the moneyline for plus money.