New York Yankees (26-19) vs New York Mets (29-17)
Game Info: Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Yankee Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -175 / New York Mets +145 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 18, at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (29-17, 12-12 Away) won three consecutive series, beating the Diamondbacks, Cubs, and Pirates. Following a 6-2 loss in Game 1 of this rivalry series against the Yankees, the Mets secured a narrow 3-2 victory on Saturday. Griffin Canning pitched for 5.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on seven hits with four strikeouts and one walk. Reed Garrett was credited with the win.
This season, the Mets average 4.60 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .251/.331/.423 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.89 ERA (1st) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .308 batting average, nine home runs, and 37 RBI this season.
David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets on Sunday. The 29-year-old left-hander has a 2-2 record in eight starts this year with a 3.05 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 44.1 innings.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees (26-19, 14-9 Home) also won three straight series, defeating the Padres at home, and then the Athletics and Mariners on the road. The Yankees didn’t have problems with the city rivals Mets in Game 1 of this series, but fell short 3-2 in Game 2 on Saturday. Clarke Schmidt pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on three hits with five strikeouts and five walks. Fernando Cruz took the loss.
This year, the Yankees average 5.82 runs per game (1st in the MLB) on a .263/.347/.477 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.59 ERA (9th) and 1.18 WHIP (7th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .402 batting average, 15 home runs, and 41 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Max Fried, who is 6-0 in nine starts this season, with a 1.11 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 56.2 innings.
Why the Yankees will beat the Mets
- The Mets have lost eight of their last nine road games following a road win.
- The Yankees have won each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games following a win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five night games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last nine games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six games at Yankee Stadium.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.208).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (304).
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (148).
- The Mets rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (11).
Mets vs Yankees Prediction
The Mets won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last six. I am going with the Yankees here, mostly because of, in my opinion, the best starter in the MLB this season – Max Fried. Fried surrendered just two runs in his last five starts and hasn’t allowed more than two runs in a game yet. He has a .242 BA in 194 at-bats against the Mets in his career. David Peterson, on the other hand, allowed multiple runs in five of his previous six starts. The Yankees are excellent against southpaws, averaging a .277 BA with 22 home runs and 76 RBI in 393 at-bats this season. Go with the Yanks.