New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9/8/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

14 minutes ago

Aug 2, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; Miami Marlins pitcher Sandy Alcantara (22) delivers a pitch during the third inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	New York Mets	Miami Marlins
Team Records	66-78	72-73
Spread	+1.5 -184	-1.5 152
Moneyline	+113	-136
Total	Over 8 (-111)	Under 8 (-109)
Where	loanDepot park, Miami, Florida
When	Tuesday, September 8, 2026
Time	06:40 PM EDT
TV	MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, September 8th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 72-73 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 43-30 home record and are coming off a 4-9 home loss against the Mets. They will face the Dodgers and the Diamondbacks next.

The Miami Marlins have a .247 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the Marlins’ best hitter with a .301 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 63 and Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 24 home runs.

Sandy Alcantara (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 13-9 record, 3.54 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 66-78 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 32-38 away record and are coming off a 9-4 away win against the Marlins. They will face the Yankees and the Orioles next.

The New York Mets have a .237 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Carson Benge is the team’s best hitter with a .275 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 72, while Juan Soto adds a team-high 23 home runs.

Sean Manaea (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 4-7 record, 4.70 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 8, 2026

Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara Record this season: 13-9 ERA: 3.54
Home Record: 6-3
Last 5 against Mets: 4-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

The Marlins have won each of their last seven games against the Mets following a home loss.
The Mets have lost each of their last seven road games against the Marlins following a road win.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four games against NL opponents following a home loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games following a win.
The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.

Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea Record this season: 4-7 ERA: 4.70
Road Record: 3-5
Last 5 against Marlins: 2-2

Why the New York Mets will win

The Marlins have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
The Mets have won each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against NL opponents.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Mets and Marlins.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Marlins’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Mets’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in 15 of the Marlins’ last 16 night games against NL opponents.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four night games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last nine games as favorites.
Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against the Mets.
Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (170) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 appearances against the Marlins.
Christopher Morel has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.

Matchup/League Facts

The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (31).
The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (149).
The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (185).

Mets vs Marlins Prediction

The Marlins are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Mets, but have won two of their last three meetings in Miami.

In this Mets vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -110 home favorites. Both pitchers have been in terrible form, as Alcantara has given up 8 runs in his last two starts and Manaea 19 runs in his last four starts. Both offenses have been red-hot and as a result, both teams are 10-2 to the over in their last 12 games combined. The Opening game of this series had 13 total runs and I will go over 8 runs in this one.