New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 6/21/24

David Racey

2 years ago

Chicago Cubs (36-39) vs New York Mets (35-38)

Game Info: Friday, June 21, 2024 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -155 / New York Mets +135 — Over/Under: 8.5

In this article we will formulate a New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 21st at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

The Mets recent form and recent player performance
The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Chicago
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Chicago

Mets Look to Keep Rolling

The New York Mets are 35-38 this season and they have won seven of their last eight games. New York is coming off of a series win against Texas, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Mets swept the Padres in three games, won two out of three against the Marlins, and split two games with the Phillies. New York is 11-3 in their last 14 games and they are fourth in the NL East standings.

The New York pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 337 runs with a .246 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .243 with 16 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has scored at least five runs in four of their last five games.

Cubs are Going for Two Straight

The Chicago Cubs are 36-39 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Chicago is coming off of a series win against San Francisco, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Cardinals, lost two out of three against the Rays, and lost three out of four against the Reds. Chicago is 5-8 in their last 13 games and they are towards the bottom of the NL Central standings.

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 315 runs with a .230 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ian Happ is batting .238 with nine home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has scored 17 runs in their last three games, but their offense has been inconsistent this year.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Quintana, who is 2-5 with a 4.98 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 72.1 innings pitched this year. Quintana has allowed exactly three earned runs in four of his last five starts, but only allowed one earned run against the Padres last time out. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Shota Imanaga, who is 7-1 with a 1.89 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 76.0 innings pitched this season. Imanaga has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The favorites have won seven of the last eight games between the Mets and Cubs at Wrigley Field.
The Mets have lost four of their last five day games against teams that held a losing record.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday games against National League opponents.
The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last three games at Wrigley Field.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Cubs’ last seven games as favorites against the Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Nine of the Mets’ last 12 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last 12 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games as home favorites.
Ian Happ has recorded a Double in each of the Cubs’ last three home games against NL East opponents.
Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 10 home appearances against the Mets.
Cody Bellinger has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his eight previous appearances at Wrigley Field against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Ian Happ has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last five games.
Shota Imanaga has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances with the Cubs as favorites against NL East opponents.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances at Wrigley Field against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs against the Cubs.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Mets’ last nine games against the Cubs at Wrigley Field.
Harrison Bader has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances at Wrigley Field.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL Central opponents.
Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances at Wrigley Field.
Harrison Bader has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 road appearances against the Cubs.