New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 9/25/24

In this article we will formulate a New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 25th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

• The Mets’ recent form and recent player performance 
• The Braves’ recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta 
• Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Atlanta
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Atlanta

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 87-70 this year and they have won two of their last three games. New York lost the first game in this series and they only managed one run in the game. Prior to this series, the Mets won three out of four against the Phillies, swept the Nationals in three games, and lost two out of three against the Phillies. New York is 8-4 in their last 12 games and they are second in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 751 runs with a .247 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .242 with 34 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 86-71 this season and they have won three games in a row. Atlanta won game one in this series by a score of 5-1 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Marlins, won two out of three against the Reds, and split four games with the Dodgers. Atlanta is 5-1 in their last six games and they are third in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Braves’ offense has scored 687 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .310 with 39 home runs and 102 RBI’s for the Braves this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 114.0 innings pitched this season. Peterson has allowed four earned runs in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 18-3 with a 2.38 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 177.2 innings pitched this year. Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts and has allowed a total of four earned runs in those five outings. 

Why the Braves will beat the Mets

• The Braves have won seven of their last eight night games against the Mets at Truist Park following a win.
• The Mets have lost each of their last three road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against the Braves at Truist Park following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Fourteen of the Braves’ last 15 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Mets and Braves.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves’ last eight games as home favorites against the Mets.
• Michael Harris has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
• Michael Harris has scored at least one run in nine of the Braves’ last 10 games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 16 appearances in night games.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 17 of his last 18 appearances against NL East opponents at Truist Park.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 home games against the Mets.
• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in six of the Braves’ last eight games against the Mets at Truist Park.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in six of his seven previous appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mets’ last six games against NL opponents.
• J.D. Martinez has scored at least one run in 11 of his 12 previous appearances at Truist Park.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brett Baty has recorded at least one total base in each of his eight previous appearances at Truist Park.
• Brett Baty has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Atlanta was able to pick up arguably their biggest win of the season on Tuesday night and they need another one in this game. Atlanta is currently on the outside of the playoff picture, but they are just a half-game behind Arizona and one game behind the Mets in the Wild Card race. The Braves are 43-33 at home this year, while the Mets are 41-35 on the road. David Peterson has had a great year for the Mets, but Chris Sale is in a league of his own right now. Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 18 straight starts and the Braves are 8-0 in his last eight starts. Take the Braves to win again here and cover the run line. 

David Racey's Pick: Braves -1.5