| MATCHUP | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 53-68 | 72-48 |
| Spread | +1.5 -163 | -1.5 135 |
| Moneyline | +138 | -148 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-119) | Under 8.5 (-101) |
| Where | Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia | |
| When | Wednesday, August 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 72-48 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 40-21 home record and are coming off a 4-0 home win against the Mets. They will face the Dbacks and the Twins next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .248 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .418 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the Braves’ best hitter with a .293 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 74, adding a team-high 35 home runs.
Tyler Mahle (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 3-9 record, 4.83 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 53-68 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 28-34 away record and are coming off a 0-4 away loss against the Braves. They will face the Nationals and the Padres next.
The New York Mets have a .235 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Carson Benge is the Mets’ best hitter with a .272 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 60, while Juan Soto adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Zac Thornton (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 3-2 record, 2.52 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: August 12, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Mahle Record this season: 3-9 ERA: 4.83
- Home Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-3
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have won each of their last seven home games following a home win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games following a home win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in 14 of their last 18 home night games.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zach Thornton Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 2.52
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Braves: 1-0
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last four games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five road games following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last five Wednesday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Mets and Braves at Truist Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last nine games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves’ last five home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Tyler Mahle has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in 25 of his last 26 home appearances against the Mets.
- Matt Olson ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Zach Thornton has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games.
- Brett Baty has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Mets as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (358).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (151).
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
Mets vs Braves Prediction
The Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Braves and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Atlanta.
In this Mets vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -153 home favorites. I like the Braves to keep rolling in this one, as the Mets are going for a bullpen game. Mahle is coming off a shutout start against the Yankees and has been very good at home with a 2.65 ERA. The Braves have both a better offense and a better bullpen throughout the season and I expect them to get the job done at home in this one.