Nationals vs Orioles Prediction 6/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 28th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 42-42 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-3 and 4-3. In game two, Washington blew a 3-1 lead in the eighth inning, but they were able to escape with the win in the 10th. The Nationals recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Garcia Jr, who went 4-5 with one home run and one RBI. Griffin allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Beeter got the win and Lawrence picked up the save. Prior to this series, Washington lost three out of four against the Phillies and two out of three against the Rays. 

This season, Washington has a 4.70 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .258 opponent batting average, while they have scored 443 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 17 home runs and 57 RBIs, while James Wood has added 20 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Zack Littell, who is 6-6 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 39-45 this year after they lost game two by a score of 3-4 last night. Baltimore scored once in the second inning and twice in the eighth, but couldn’t score in the 10th with the runner on second in the loss. The Orioles recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Tromp, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Young allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Helsley picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Angels, but did win two out of three against the Dodgers before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.35 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 388 runs with a .240 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 18 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 5-7 with a 3.64 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 89.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards after going to extra innings.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last five day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last four games after going to extra innings.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 16 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Nationals’ last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Orioles have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Orioles’ last seven home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the last eight day games between the Nationals and Orioles.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Nationals’ last seven games as road underdogs.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jeremiah Jackson has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against NL opponents.
• Jeremiah Jackson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Orioles as favorites against NL opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances.
• Zack Littell has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.

Nationals vs Orioles Prediction

Washington was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Saturday, but their bullpen has been terrible over the last few weeks. The Nationals are 25-17 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 23-20 at home. Baltimore has lost three of their last four games and they have scored three runs or fewer in three of those four. The Orioles are starting Bradish, who has allowed 0, 1, 5, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts, while Littell has allowed 2, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last three outings. I don’t really trust either starter in this spot, so I will take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 9