Seattle Mariners (30-25) vs Minnesota Twins (30-25)
May 30, 2025 at 10:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -162 / Minnesota Twins +136 — Over/Under: 7
In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins (30-25, 12-17 Away) were the hottest team in the MLB at one moment when they won 13 consecutive games. Most recently, the Twins won a series against the Kansas City Royals and lost to the Tampa Bay Rays. In the latest 5-0 defeat, Pablo Lopez took the loss after allowing four runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Twins average 3.93 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .236/.305/.375 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 3.29 ERA (7th) and 1.16 WHIP (3rd). Ty France leads the Twins with a .254 batting average, four home runs, and 30 RBI this season.
Zebby Matthews will take the mound for the Twins on Friday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 0-1 record in two starts this year with a 7.71 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 7.0 innings.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners (30-25, 14-13 Home) spent three series on the road, where they swept the Padres, beat the White Sox, and lost to the Astros. Back at home, Seattle won Game 1 against the Washington Nationals, but lost the next two, including the most recent one, a 9-3 extra innings defeat. Emerson Hancock pitched for 5.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on two hits with four strikeouts and three walks. Collin Snider took the loss.
This year, the Mariners average 4.55 runs per game (10th in the MLB) on a .237/.324/.394 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.83 ERA (15th) and 1.32 WHIP (19th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .260 batting average, 19 home runs, and 37 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Mariners is Bryan Woo, who is 5-2 in ten starts this season, with a 2.40 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 63.2 innings.
Why the Mariners will beat the Twins
- The Mariners have won each of their last four night games at T-Mobile Park following an extra-innings loss.
- The Twins have lost three of their last four road games.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Mariners’ last 13 games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Twins’ last five night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Twins’ last 10 games against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Twins and Mariners at T-Mobile Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank T27th in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Mariners are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for walks this season (150).
- The Twins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Twins vs Mariners Prediction
The Twins won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last five. I am backing the Mariners to open this series with a win as they start Bryan Woo, who is their best pitcher this season. Woo registered three consecutive quality starts and allowed just three runs in the process. Zebby Matthews didn’t start this season well, and I think the Mariners will cause him trouble in the opening four or five innings here. Back the Mariners.