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Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Picks 7/13/24

John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

San Francisco Giants (45-49) vs Minnesota Twins (53-40)

July 13, 2024 at 07:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants -105 / Minnesota Twins -105 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and San Francisco Giants meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Oracle Park. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 53-41 on the year after games against the Astros and White Sox. The Minnesota Twins have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Minnesota Twins have lost 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 88 hits and 30 RBI, while Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda have combined for 169 hits and 90 RBI.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 46-49 on the year after games against the Guardians and Blue Jays. The San Francisco Giants have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 games. The San Francisco Giants have won 5 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Matt Chapman leads the San Francisco Giants with 84 hits and 43 RBI, while Thairo Estrada and Helios Ramos have combined for 138 hits and 85 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Pitching Pick Matchup

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. Richardson has allowed 7 hits and 5 runs in his last 11.2 innings. Richardson has a 3.38 ERA and .245 allowed batting average in 40 road innings. This will be Richardson’s first career game against the San Francisco Giants.

Hayden Birdsong gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 1-0 with a 4.40 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Birdsong has allowed 9 hits and 4 runs in his last 9.2 innings. Birdsong has a 5.79 ERA and .316 allowed batting average in 4.2 home innings. This will be Birdsong’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will Beat the Giants

  • The Twins have won each of their last nine Saturday games against NL West opponents.
  • The Giants have lost each of their last six games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites after playing the previous day.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Giants’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
  • Casey Schmitt has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded a Double in each of his last five Saturday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Twins.
  • Matt Chapman has scored at least one run in each of the Giants’ last five games as home underdogs.
  • Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one Single in nine of his 10 previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded a Double in four of the Twins’ last five games against NL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Francisco Giants rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (844).
  • The San Francisco Giants rank 6th in the league for walks this season (317).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (241).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.430).

Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

We’re getting a pick em price with the better team in the Minnesota Twins, who are due for an offensive breakthrough. Simeon Woods Richardson has also been the sharper pitcher this season over Hayden Birdsong, even though the Giants’ starter has a smaller sample size. Also, it’s only 4.2 innings, but Birdsong has been a disaster at Oracle Park this season. It’s hard not to side with the Twins in game 2 given the more trustworthy pitcher. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Minnesota Twins -105

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