Boston Red Sox (76-78) vs Minnesota Twins (81-73)
Game Info: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Fenway Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox +120 / Minnesota Twins -145 — Over/Under: 7.5
In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 21st at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:
- The Twins’ recent form and recent player performance
- The Red Sox’s recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
- Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and Boston
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Minnesota and Boston
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 81-73 this year and they have lost two of their last three games. Minnesota was able to get the win in game one of this series by a score of 4-2 in extra innings. Prior to this series, the Twins lost three out of four against the Guardians, lost two out of three against the Reds, and won two out of three against the Angels. Minnesota is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are third in the AL Central.
The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Twins’ offense has scored 717 runs with a .248 batting average and a .317 on-base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .238 with 22 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Twins this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 76-78 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Boston dropped game one in this series in extra innings, as they were just 1-19 with runners in scoring position. Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Rays, lost three out of four against the Yankees, and won two out of three against the Orioles. Boston is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are third in the AL East.
The Boston pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 717 runs with a .252 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .285 with 21 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Pablo Lopez, who is 15-8 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 175.2 innings pitched this year. Lopez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who is 8-15 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 171.2 innings pitched this season. Crawford has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts but has allowed seven earned runs in his last two outings.
Why the Twins will beat the Red Sox
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Twins have won five of their last six-day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five-day games following a home loss.
- The Twins have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Red Sox.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine-day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Twins’ last five road games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Minnesota was able to get a huge win in the first game of this series on Friday night and they will look to string some wins together here. The Twins are battling the Tigers for the last wild card spot in the AL and they haven’t played very well recently, so this is a huge series. The Twins are starting Pablo Lopez, who has been very good over the last few weeks. The Red Sox are going with Kutter Crawford, who has been up and down this year and hasn’t been great recently. Lopez has been money for the Twins over the last few weeks and Boston looks like they have given up, so give me the Twins here.