St. Louis Cardinals (61-63) vs Milwaukee Brewers (72-52)
Game Info: Thursday, August 22, 2024 at 2:15 pm (Busch Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -101 / Milwaukee Brewers -116 — Over/Under:
The Milwaukee Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Thursday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Brewers vs Cardinals pick. We will examine:
The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance
The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals
Recent betting trends in games played between the Brewers and Cardinals
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Brewers vs Cardinals game
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Brewers played the Cleveland Guardians in their weekend series. Milwaukee won all three of those games 5-3, 2-1 and 2-0. After a 3-2 win in the opener versus the Cardinals, in game two the Brewers came back from an early 2-0 deficit to eventually lose 10-6. Tobias Myers finished with 4.0 innings and two earned as starter.
As starter for Thursday’s game the Brewers are going with Freddy Peralta. So far Peralta is 8-7 with a 4.00 ERA in 25 starts. Peralta is 50-34 with a 3.86 ERA in 171 games (122 starts) during his career.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
Over on the Cardinals’ side, they played the Los Angeles Dodgers in their last set. St. Louis won 5-2 Saturday but dropped the other pair. On Wednesday the Cards scored six runs in the final two frames in a wild comeback. Kyle Gibson managed 5.1 innings and two earned runs in the start.
Miles Mikolas will start the finale for the Cardinals on Thursday. This year Mikolas is 8-10 with a 5.41 ERA in 25 starts. Mikolas is 62-63 with a 4.13 ERA in 203 career games (175 starts). The Cardinals will meet the Twins and Padres after this series.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cardinals’ last nine games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Brewers’ last six road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last three games at Busch Stadium.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Masyn Winn has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded a Double in three of the Cardinals’ last four games against the Brewers at Busch Stadium.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Cardinals’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Tommy Pham has scored at least one run in 13 of his last 15 appearances with his team as an underdog against the Brewers.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances at Busch Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Willy Adames has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one Double in four of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded an RBI in five of the Brewers’ last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- Christian Yelich has recorded two or more hits in each of his last four appearances against the Cardinals.
- Blake Perkins has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Blake Perkins has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Freddy Peralta ranks T10th in the league for total Strikeouts (162) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The St. Louis Cardinals rank 25th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.253).
- The St. Louis Cardinals rank 24th in the league for RBI’s this season (493).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (466).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.69).
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’ll stay with the Brewers. Peralta had a couple of rough starts this month, going 1-1 with eight earned in 11.0 innings. He came back with just one earned in 6.0 innings during a win over Cleveland, though. As for Mikolas, he’s struggled lately with 14 earned runs in his last 13.2 innings, going 0-2 in that trio.
On Wednesday the Brewers should have won the game before extra frames. A handful of bad innings on the mound let things get out of hand and the offense didn’t have an answer late. .I like Milwaukee to keep it rolling in the finale, with a quicker finish this time.