Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 9/25/24

In this article we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 25th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

• The Brewers’ recent form and recent player performance 
• The Pirates’ recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh 
• Recent betting trends in games played between Milwaukee and Pittsburgh
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Milwaukee and Pittsburgh

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 90-67 this season and they have won two games in a row. Milwaukee won the first game in this series by a score of 7-2 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Brewers lost three out of four against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Phillies, and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Milwaukee is 7-5 in their last 12 games and they have clinched the NL Central. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Brewers’ offense has scored 757 runs with a .249 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .252 with 32 home runs and 111 RBI’s for the Brewers this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 73-84 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Pittsburgh dropped game one in this series and only scored two runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Reds, lost three out of four against the Cardinals, and lost two out of three against the Royals. Pittsburgh is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL Central. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Pirates’ offense has scored 644 runs with a .236 batting average and a .302 on-base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .276 with 22 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 11-8 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 168.1 innings pitched this year. Peralta has allowed one earned run in two straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Luis Ortiz, who is 6-6 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 128.2 innings pitched this season. Ortiz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Brewers will beat the Pirates

• The Pirates have lost each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have won four of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games at PNC Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in 11 of the Brewers’ last 12 games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Brewers’ last seven games as favorites against the Pirates have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last three games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded an RBI in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
• Yasmani Grandal has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in three of his last six home appearances with the Pirates against NL opponents.
• Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Sal Frelick has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Pirates.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded two or more hits in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Willy Adames has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL Central opponents.
• Willy Adames has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL Central opponents.
• Willy Adames has scored at least one run in eight of the Brewers’ last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
• Sal Frelick has recorded a Single in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Willy Adames has hit a home run in four of the Brewers’ last five games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 

Milwaukee comes into this matchup trying to catch the Phillies and Dodgers in the NL, but they will most likely be the third seed for the postseason. The Brewers are 45-34 on the road this season, while the Pirates are just 38-41 at home. Pittsburgh has struggled to score runs over the last five games and they will face Freddy Peralta, who has pitched very well in his last two starts. The Pirates are going with Luis Ortiz, who has been up and down recently but has allowed 11 runs in his last two home starts. Take the Brewers here. 

David Racey's Pick: Brewers ML