| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 94-57 | 75-76 |
| Spread | -1.5 119 | +1.5 -144 |
| Moneyline | -137 | +114 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-111) | Under 7.5 (-109) |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 75-76 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 38-35 home record and are coming off a 1-5 home loss against the Brewers. They will face the Royals and the Cardinals next.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .253 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .307 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 86, adding a team-high 30 home runs.
Jared Jones (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 4-6 record, 4.10 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 94-57 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 42-31 away record and are coming off a 5-1 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Orioles and the Phillies next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .259 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .289 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 92, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 26 home runs.
Logan Henderson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 10-3 record, 2.34 ERA and 0.78 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: September 16, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones Record this season: 4-6 ERA: 4.10
- Home Record: 1-3
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-1
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight night games against the Pirates following a road win.
- The Pirates have won each of their last five home games following a loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday night games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson Record this season: 10-3 ERA: 2.34
- Road Record: 4-3
- Last 5 against Pirates: 1-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games at PNC Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last seven games as favorites against the Pirates have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last six night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Logan Henderson’s last eight road appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last seven night games between the Brewers and Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two games against the Brewers.
- Jared Jones has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.307) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Logan Henderson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Jake Bauers ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.393) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank T2nd in the league for hits this season (1312).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (145).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1331).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction
The Brewers have won their last four meetings against the Pirates but are 1-3 in their last four visits in Pittsburgh.
In this Brewers vs Pirates Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -135 road favorites. I like the Brewers in this one, as they have been red-hot lately with a 6-1 record in their last 7 games and have Logan Henderson on the mound, who has a 2.34 ERA and 0.78 WHIP this season and has been in excellent form. Jones has also been very good as of late, but the Pirates’ bats have been ice-cold lately and their bullpen has an almost 7 ERA in their last 5 games. Take the Brewers to win.