| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 47-29 | 37-40 |
| Spread | -1.5 141 | +1.5 -171 |
| Moneyline | -109 | -110 |
| Total | Over 10 (-102) | Under 10 (-118) |
| Where | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio | |
| When | Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Reds Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, June 23rd in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 37-40 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 19-20 home record and are coming off a 1-2 home defeat against the Brewers. They will face the Pirates and the Brewers next.
The Reds have a .227 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .280 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 54, adding a team-high 14 home runs.
Nick Lodolo (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 2-2 record, 6.12 ERA and 1.59 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 47-29 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 22-14 road record and are coming off a 2-1 road win against the Reds. They will face the Cubs and the Reds next.
The Brewers have a .254 batting average this season, .338 OBP and .390 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 47, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 13 home runs.
Brandon Sproat (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 1-4 record, 5.94 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: June 23, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Nick Lodolo Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 6.12
- Home Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-1
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Reds have won three of their last four games as home underdogs following a home loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat Record this season: 1-4 ERA: 5.94
- Road Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Reds: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have lost 14 of their last 15 games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games at Great American Ball Park after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 road games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last 11 Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last six games between the Brewers and Reds.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Brewers’ last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded two hits in each of the Brewers’ last four games as road favorites against the Reds.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (586).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (750).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).
Brewers vs Reds Prediction
The Marlins are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Rangers, but have lost their last three meetings in Miami.
In this Brewers vs Reds Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -125 road favorites. I don’t like the pitching in this matchup, as both have a combined 12.08 ERA and Lodolo has been atrocious at home with a 7.27 ERA. Sproat has given up at least three runs in 8 of his 10 starts this season, the Brewers have the second-best offense in baseball and the Reds rank 26th in bullpen ERA. Take the over 10 in this one.