| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 87-53 | 78-62 |
| Spread | -1.5 149 | +1.5 -181 |
| Moneyline | -114 | -105 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-102) | Under 8.5 (-117) |
| Where | Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois | |
| When | Thursday, September 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 78-62 record this season and are sitting in 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 40-31 home record and are coming off a 5-9 home loss against the Brewers. They will face the Marlins and the Brewers next.
The Chicago Cubs have a .252 batting average this season, .340 OBP, and .432 slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the Cubs’ best hitter with a .280 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 91, adding a team-high 38 home runs.
Kevin Gausman (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, with an 8-11 record, 4.52 ERA, and 1.27 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have an 87-53 record this season and are sitting in 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 40-28 road record and are coming off a 9-5 road win against the Cubs. They will face the Reds and the Cubs next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .257 batting average this season, .340 OBP, and .400 slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the Brewers’ best hitter with a .287 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 79, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Logan Henderson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, with a 9-2 record, 2.48 ERA, and 0.83 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: September 3, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman Record this season: 8-11 ERA: 4.52
- Home Record: 4-5
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-0
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in 17 of their last 18 games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson Record this season: 9-2 ERA: 2.48
- Road Record: 4-2
- Last 5 against Cubs: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Cubs have lost four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Cubs following a win.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Logan Henderson’s last seven road appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last nine Thursday games against NL opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Alex Bregman has hit at least one home run in each of the Cubs’ last five games as underdogs.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last seven games as underdogs.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (38) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Logan Henderson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Cooper Pratt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances.
- Bo Naylor has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Jake Bauers ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.390) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (751).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (197).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1221).
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Cubs and are 5-1 in their last 6 visits in Chicago.
In this Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -115 road favorites. I like the Brewers to keep rolling in this one, as they have won back-to-back games after getting destroyed in the opening game of the series. They have scored 9 runs in their last two wins and have the pitching edge today with Logan Henderson on the mound with his 2.48 ERA, and 0.83 WHIP. He has been red-hot with one earned run in each of his last three starts, while Gausman has a 5.14 ERA as a Cub and has given up 8 runs in his last two home starts. Take the Brewers to win.