Washington Nationals (67-81) vs Miami Marlins (55-94)
Game Info: Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 1:35 pm (Nationals Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals -185 / Miami Marlins +155 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 15th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. To formulate this prediction for game four in the series, we will examine:
- The Marlins recent form and recent player performance
- The Phillies recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia
- Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Philadelphia
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Miami and Philadelphia
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 55-94 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Miami won game one in this series by a score of 6-3 on Thursday night, but lost games two and three. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost all three against the Pirates, split four games with the Phillies, and split two games with the Nationals. Miami is 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are last in the NL East.
The Miami pitching staff has a 4.70 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 556 runs with a .241 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .244 with 25 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Marlins this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 67-81 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Washington has won the last two games in this series by a score of 4-1 in each win. Prior to this series, the Nationals split two games with the Braves, split four games with the Pirates, and split two games with the Marlins. Washington is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the NL East.
The Washington pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 620 runs with a .244 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Luis Garcia is batting .281 with 16 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Nationals this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Adam Oller, who is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 26.2 innings pitched this year. Oller has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts (10.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Washington is MacKenzie Gore, who is 8-12 with a 4.34 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 147.1 innings pitched this season. Gore has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts.
Why the Nationals will beat the Marlins
- The Nationals have won nine of their last 10 day games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the last seven games between the Marlins and Nationals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Marlins’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Joey Gallo has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jacob Young has recorded a Single in each of the Nationals’ last six games as favorites.
- CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances at Nationals Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- MacKenzie Gore has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances at Nationals Park.
- Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Double in three of the Marlins’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last 11 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins’ last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Jonah Bride has scored a run in four of the Marlins’ last five games against NL East opponents.
- Jonah Bride has recorded a Single in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs.
- Jonah Bride has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last five day games.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 23 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Washington comes into this game looking for the series win after picking up wins on Friday and Saturday, and they are 35-39 at home this year. Miami is just 27-47 on the road this season and they are starting Adam Oller, who has really struggled in his last two outings. Washington is starting MacKenzie Gore, who started to fall apart last month, but has pitched very well recently. Give me Gore and the Nationals to win by at least two runs.