Toronto Blue Jays (72-85) vs Miami Marlins (58-99)
Game Info: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -175 / Miami Marlins +148 — Over/Under:
The Miami Marlins and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Friday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Marlins vs Blue Jays pick. We will examine:
The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance
The Toronto Blue Jays’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays
Recent betting trends in games played between the Marlins and Blue Jays
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins vs Blue Jays game
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
In their last set, the Marlins took on the Minnesota Twins. Miami won 4-1 in the opener, then on Wednesday lost 8-3. In the finale, the Marlins posted three runs in the top of the 13th inning during a marathon 8-6 win. Starter Valente Bellozo put up 5.0 innings with one earned run.
In the starting pitcher role, Friday Miami is going with Adam Oller. So far Oller is 1-4 with a 5.06 ERA in seven starts. Over 35 career games (22 starts) Oller is 4-13 with a 6.51 ERA.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
Over on the Jays’ side, they’re coming off a series versus the Boston Red Sox. Toronto lost the first two games 4-1 and 6-5. In the finale Wednesday the Blue Jays powered out a 6-1 victory with 11 team hits. Kevin Gausman lasted 6.0 innings with one earned run in the win.
As starter Friday it’ll be Jose Berrios. In 2024 Berrios is 16-10 with a 3.38 ERA in 31 starts. Over his career, Berrios is 99-76 with a 4.04 ERA in 243 games (242 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last three games against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 13 appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jose Berrios has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
- Davis Schneider has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games against NL opponents.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Berrios ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (16) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last three games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Jonah Bride has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four road games against AL opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded an RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jonah Bride has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last five road games.
- Jake Burger has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last three road games against AL East opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Marlins’ last 11 games.
- Jonah Bride has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 5th in the league for doubles this season (278).
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 25th in the league for home runs this season (154).
- The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (4.77).
- The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (834).
Miami Marlins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
I’m going with the Jays. Berrios is doing pretty well over his last trio. In that time he’s 2-1 with just three earned runs over 19.0 combined innings on 13 hits and four walks. If Berrios can keep it going he’ll be good for a quality start Friday at least.
The Jays have scored pretty well lately with three or more runs in three of their last four games and 11 combined runs in their last pair. Toronto also gave up a combined 10 runs during the first two installments of the Red Sox series though, so the pen needs to be on point Friday as well.