| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 35-36 | 36-35 |
| Spread | +1.5 -168 | -1.5 139 |
| Moneyline | +134 | -162 |
| Total | Over 7 (-119) | Under 7 (-102) |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Sunday, June 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | Peacock | |
In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 14th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 36-35 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 20-18 home record and are coming off a 3-2 home win against the Marlins. They will face the Athletics and the Rockies next.
The Pirates have a .253 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .296 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 46, adding a team-high 17 home runs.
Paul Skenes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 6-5 record, 2.84 ERA and 0.93 WHIP.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 35-36 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 12-20 road record and are coming off a 2-3 road defeat against the Pirates. They will face the Phillies and the Giants next.
The Marlins have a .246 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .345 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 51, adding a team-high 13 home runs.
Max Meyer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 6-0 record, 2.85 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.
Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: June 14, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes Record this season: 6-5 ERA: 2.84
- Home Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Marlins: 1-0
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won seven of their last eight day games following a win.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Pirates following a loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Marlins following a home win.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at PNC Park.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Meyer Record this season: 6-0 ERA: 2.85
- Road Record: 2-0
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Pirates’ last 11 home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Marlins and Pirates.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last nine home games against NL opponents.
- Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 14 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (96) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (658).
- The Pirates rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (64).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (81).
- The Marlins rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (58).
Marlins vs Pirates Prediction
The Pirates are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Marlins and are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh.
In this Marlins vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -165 home favorites. We got ourselves a pitchers duel in this game as Paul Skenes goes up against Max Meyer and both have been excellent with a combined 5.69 ERA. They both have two earned runs or less in seven of their last eight games combined and the Marlins have a top-10 bullpen. Expect runs to come at a premium and take the under 7 in this one.