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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction 5/31/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

May 23, 2026; Miami, Florida, USA; Miami Marlins shortstop Otto Lopez (6) throws to first base to retire New York Mets left fielder Juan Soto (not pictured) during the ninth inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

May 23, 2026; Miami, Florida, USA; Miami Marlins shortstop Otto Lopez (6) throws to first base to retire New York Mets left fielder Juan Soto (not pictured) during the ninth inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Miami Marlins New York Mets
Team Records 26-33 25-33
Where Citi Field, Queens, New York
When Sunday, May 31, 2026
Time 01:40 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV
The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets will meet on Sunday afternoon in the final game of a three‑game National League East series at Citi Field in Queens, New York.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins enter Sunday’s contest with a 26–33 overall record (4th in the National League East) and an 8–18 mark on the road. The Marlins offense has been inconsistent to this point in the season. Miami has compiled 249 runs scored (17th in MLB), 96 doubles, a .245 team batting average and 46 home runs which ranks a rather low 27th in Major League Baseball.

The Marlins arrive at Sunday’s game in below average form. More specifically, Miami has lost four of the team’s last five games played this season, including an 8–1 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays earlier this week.

Miami will turn to right hander Janson Junk in this contest. In eleven starts made this season, Junk has compiled a 3–5 win‑loss record, a 4.80 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP and 43 strikeouts, while allowing 65 hits and 13 walks in 60 innings pitched.

Shifting our focus to the Miami offense, the Marlins lineup features shortstop Otto Lopez and catcher Liam Hicks. Lopez enters this contest with a rather impressive .330 batting average (1st in MLB), 4 home runs, 9 walks, 24 RBIs, 10 stolen bases and an .821 OPS. Liam Hicks has tallied a .274 batting average, 11 home runs, 17 walks, 45 RBIs (3rd in MLB) and an .826 OPS.  

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets enter Sunday afternoon’s matchup with a 25–33 overall record (3rd in the National League East) and a 14–15 mark at home. The Mets arrive at this contest in strong form. New York has won three consecutive games, including a 4–2 victory over the Cincinnati Reds four days ago.

New York will start right hander Nolan McLean in Sunday’s game. In eleven starts made this season, McLean has compiled a 2–4 record, a 4.40 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP and 75 strikeouts (8th in MLB), while allowing 48 hits and 19 walks in 61.1 innings pitched. McLean will look to shut down a formidable Miami Marlins lineup on Sunday afternoon.

The New York Mets lineup features outfielder Juan Soto and first baseman Mark Vientos. Juan Soto enters this contest with a .300 batting average (13th in MLB), 12 home runs, 25 RBIs and a .974 OPS which ranks third in Major League Baseball. Mark Vientos has compiled 7 home runs, 9 doubles, 7 walks, 26 RBIs, and a .654 OPS.

Why the Miami Marlins will win.

• Offensive upside. Otto Lopez and Liam Hicks continue to anchor the Miami Marlins lineup.

• Quality starting pitching. Janson Junk has compiled a 4.80 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP.

• Motivation factor. The Marlins have lost four of the team’s last five games played.

Why the New York Mets will win.

• Home field edge. The Mets have compiled a 14–15 record at Citi Field this season.

• Starting pitching advantage. Nolan McLean has produced a 4.40 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP and 75 strikeouts which ranks eighth in Major League Baseball.

• Offensive stability. Juan Soto and Mark Vientos provide the New York lineup with consistent production.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Prediction

In my view, this matchup favors the New York Mets. New York starting pitcher Nolan McLean has amassed a 1.09 WHIP and a massive 75 strikeouts which ranks eighth in Major League Baseball. Conversely, Miami hurler Janson Junk has struggled at times in 2026 which is concerning when facing a solid New York Mets lineup. With that said, the Mets are the side to be on in this contest. I am backing the New York Mets on the moneyline in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: New York Mets ML

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