Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 9/24/24

In this article, we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 24th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Marlins’ recent form and recent player performance 
• The Twins’ recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota 
• Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Minnesota 
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Miami and Minnesota 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 57-99 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Miami is coming off of a series loss against Atlanta, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Dodgers, lost three out of four against the Nationals, and lost all three against the Pirates. Miami is 3-10 in their last 13 games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .259 opponent batting average. The Marlins’ offense has scored 596 runs with a .241 batting average and a .297 on-base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .248 with 28 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 81-75 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series loss against Boston, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Twins lost three out of four against the Guardians, lost two out of three against the Reds, and won two out of three against the Angels. Minnesota is 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Twins’ offense has scored 721 runs with a .247 batting average and a .316 on-base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .235 with 22 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Twins this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Weathers, who is 3-6 with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 75.1 innings pitched this year. Weathers has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 12-7 with a 3.84 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 168.2 innings pitched this season. Ober has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Twins will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost five of their last six road games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have won three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have covered the run line in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last seven games against American League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last five games as home favorites has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last five Tuesday night games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Santana has recorded a Single in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Twins as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with the Twins as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Marlins.
• Kyle Farmer has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances at Target Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games against AL opponents.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last three games against AL opponents.
• Jake Burger has recorded four or more total bases in each of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jonah Bride has recorded a Single in nine of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this series really struggling over the last two weeks and they are currently out of a playoff spot in the AL Wild Card race. The Twins could really use a series sweep here, along with some losses for the Tigers and Royals. Minnesota is 42-33 at home this year, while Miami is 27-48 on the road. Both of these starting pitchers have decent numbers on the season, but Ober should be able to silence one of the lowest-scoring lineups in baseball. Take the Twins to win by at least two runs here. 

David Racey's Pick: Twins -1.5