| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 69-69 | 62-76 |
| Spread | -1.5 154 | +1.5 -188 |
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (-114) | Under 9.5 (-106) |
| Where | Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri | |
| When | Tuesday, September 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 69-69 on the year and play the Cubs and Mets next. The Miami Marlins are batting .248 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and have a .396 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 164 hits and 61 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Javier Sanoja have combined for 243 hits and 102 RBI.
Tyler Phillips gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 3-6 with a 3.59 ERA and 86 strikeouts this season. This will be Phillips’ second career game against the Kansas City Royals.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 62-76 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Diamondbacks next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .248 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .401 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals’ pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 133 hits and 49 RBI, while Salvador Perez and Jac Caglianone have combined for 240 hits and 128 RBI.
Randy Dobnak gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 2-2 with a 1.92 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. This will be Dobnak’s first career game against the Miami Marlins.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Royals have won each of their last seven games at Kauffman Stadium.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight night games against AL opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL opponents.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Kauffman Stadium.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Kauffman Stadium.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Royals have lost eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have won seven of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a loss.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the last five games between the Marlins and Royals at Kauffman Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as road underdogs.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Royals’ last five games against NL East opponents.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Salvador Perez has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last two games against the Marlins.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 11 Tuesday games as favorites.
- Randy Dobnak has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games.
- Tyler Phillips has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games.
Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
The Royals have played their best ball of the season over the last few weeks, and Dobnak has been strong despite the limited innings. However, we’re getting even money with the Marlins, a team that’s still in the wild card race. Motivation is key as we head down the home stretch. If you can offer the more favorable price with a team still playing for something, I’ll take my chances. Phillips has also been solid in his own right with a 3.59 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in a larger sample size. Give me the fish.