| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 46-41 | 34-53 |
| Spread | -1.5 119 | +1.5 -143 |
| Moneyline | -126 | +104 |
| Total | Over 12 (-107) | Under 12 (-112) |
| Where | Coors Field, Denver, Colorado | |
| When | Thursday, July 2, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 46-41 on the year and play the Mariners and Athletics next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and have a .398 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 112 hits and 37 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Liam Hicks have combined for 169 hits and 83 RBI.
Ryan Gusto gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. This will be Gusto’s first career game against the Colorado Rockies.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies are 34-53 on the year and play the Giants and Dodgers next. The Colorado Rockies are batting .254 on the season and have a .324 OBP and a .417 slugging percentage. The Colorado Rockies’ pitching staff has a 5.60 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. TJ Rumfield leads the Colorado Rockies with 87 hits and 45 RBI, while Troy Johnston and Hunter Goodman have combined for 155 hits and 86 RBI.
Michael Lorenzen gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies, and he is 3-9 with a 6.83 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Lorenzen is 4-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have lost three of their last four Thursday games as road favorites.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Rockies following a loss.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last seven day games following a win.
- The Marlins have won eight of their last nine games against the Rockies.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rockies’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Fourteen of the Marlins’ last 17 road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Rockies’ last eight games as underdogs.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Marlins’ last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Mickey Moniak has hit a home run in five of the Rockies’ last six home games against the Marlins.
- Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Cole Carrigg has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances.
- Troy Johnston ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.312) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Joe Mack has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games.
- Ryan Gusto has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Owen Caissie has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games against the Rockies.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.332) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.288).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (877).
- The Marlins rank 4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (85).
- The Marlins are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
The Marlins and the low price are probably the play in terms of a side, as they continue to pile up the wins. However, I’m looking at the over. Through 21.1 innings, Gusto has a 5.06 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Lorenzen has a 6.83 ERA and 1.79 WHIP through 81.2 innings. Lorenzen has allowed 31 hits and 16 runs in his last 24.1 innings. At home through 37.1 frames, Lorenzen has an 8.20 ERA and a .364 allowed batting average. We’re going to see some runs in this spot. Give me the over.

