Cincinnati Reds (44-49) vs Miami Marlins (32-60)
Game Info: Saturday, July 13, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -160 / Miami Marlins +147 — Over/Under:
The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds meet Saturday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds
Recent betting trends in games played between the Marlins and Reds
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins vs Reds game
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
This week the Marlins played the Houston Astros. Miami came out of that series on the wrong end of a sweep with losses 4-3, 9-1 and 6-3. On Friday versus the Reds in their weekend opener, the Marlins gave up seven runs in the first three innings during a 7-3 loss. Yonny Chirinos managed 5.2 innings with all seven earned as starter.
In the starter role for Saturday it’ll be Edward Cabrera. This year in six starts Cabrera is 1-2 with a 6.84 ERA. Over his 49 career games (47 starts), Cabrera is 14-16 with a 4.32 ERA.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
Over on the Reds’ side, they played four games versus the Colorado Rockies this week. Cincinnati lost 6-5 on Wednesday but otherwise recorded victories 6-0, 12-6 and 8-1 for a series win. On Friday the Reds gave up 11 hits but minimized the damage pretty well. Carson Spiers had 5.0 innings with three earned runs as starter.
Andrew Abbott will take the starter role for the Saturday matchup. This year over his 18 starts Abbott is 9-6 with a 3.06 ERA. In 39 career starts Abbott is 17-12 with a 3.48 ERA.
Marlins vs Reds Pick Injury Notes
Reds SP Brandon Williamson (shoulder) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session July 23. RP Ian Gibaut (forearm) will throw a bullpen session on Tuesday.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last four road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five day games at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his six previous appearances against the Marlins.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one Double in five of his six previous appearances against the Marlins.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 11 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Jake Fraley has recorded a Single in six of his last seven appearances with the Reds as favorites against NL opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds’ last 11 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Bryan De La Cruz has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his four previous road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
I’ll probably just stay with the Reds. Abbott has done well on the mound lately. In his last three starts combined Abbott is 3-0 with just three earned runs in 18.1 total innings. As for Cabrera, he’s given up 10 earned runs over his last 9.2 innings of work.
On Friday the Reds really only had one bad inning (three runs in the fourth) but it didn’t really matter after the hot start. Everybody but Tyler Stephenson (0-for-4) got at least one hit in a great offensive effort. I like Cincinnati to carry that momentum into the weekend.