Marlins vs Twins Prediction 5/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 14th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 20-23 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 0-3 and 9-5. In game two, Miami scored eight runs in the first four innings and they cruised to the easy win. The Marlins recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hicks, who went 1-5 with three RBIs. Meyer allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while King allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Miami won two out of three against the Nationals, but lost two out of three against the Orioles before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.06 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 185 runs with a .245 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 38 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Braxton Garrett, who is making his first MLB appearance of the season. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 19-24 this year after they lost game two by a score of 9-5 on Wednesday night. Minnesota cut the deficit to 4-2 in the third inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Twins recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Buxton, who went 2-4 with two home runs and two RBIs. Woods Richardson allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Adams allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost two out of three against the Nationals before that. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.57 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 202 runs with a .235 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 15 home runs and 23 RBIs, while Ryan Jeffers has added six home runs and 25 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Connor Prielipp, who is 1-1 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 19.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine road games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The home team has won three of the Marlins’ last four games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in three of their last four games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home day games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Twins have lost nine of their last 10 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Twins.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last four games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs against the Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Twins’ last six day games at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins against NL opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Braxton Garrett has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs against the Twins.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his 13 previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Marlins vs Twins Prediction 

Miami was able to get the win on Wednesday to even the series at one and they have won three of their last four games. The Marlins are 6-11 on the road this year, while the Twins are 11-11 at home. Minnesota has won three of their last four games and they are starting Prielipp, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in all four of his starts. Miami is going with Garrett, who has had elite numbers in the minors this year. I think Garrett is going to have success here and I like the Marlins to win on the road.

David Racey's Pick: Marlins ML