Marlins vs Phillies Prediction 6/17/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 17th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 36-38 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 0-7 and 2-8. In game two, Miami allowed the first eight runs in the game, but did score in the seventh inning to avoid the shutout. The Marlins recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Ruiz, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Phillips allowed six hits and eight earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Bachar threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Miami won two out of three against the Pirates and all three against the Diamondbacks. 

This season, Miami has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 312 runs with a .244 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 13 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added five home runs and 31 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 6-4 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 97.1 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 40-33 this season after they won game two by a score of 8-2 last night. Philadelphia took a 3-0 lead in the first inning and never looked back in the easy win. The Phillies recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Bohm, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Luzardo allowed five hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Banks and Lazar both threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 300 runs with a .228 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 25 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 15 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Andrew Painter, who is 1-7 with a 6.43 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP over 63.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight Wednesday home games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Marlins.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won six of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five day games against the Marlins following a home win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Marlins’ last 11 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the last nine games between the Marlins and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five day games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last six games at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Marlins as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Esteury Ruiz has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games against NL East opponents.

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia has won the first two games in this series by a combined score of 15-2 and they will look for the sweep here. The Phillies are 21-17 at home this year, while the Marlins are 13-22 on the road. Miami has lost three of their last four games and they are starting Alcantara, who has allowed 3, 1, 3, 8, and 6 earned runs in his last five starts. Philadelphia is going with Painter, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three straight outings. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 9