Marlins vs Mariners Prediction 4/26/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 26th at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 12-13 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 8-4. Miami was able to score six runs in the sixth inning, which was more than enough to get the win here. The Marlins recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Edwards, Sanchez, and Ramirez, who all had two RBIs in the win. Miami started Quantrill, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings in the win, while Tinoco, Faucher, and Henriquez combined for 3.1 scoreless innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Reds, but did lose two out of three against the Phillies before that. Miami has won four of its last five games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.86 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 114 runs with a .260 batting average and a .324 on-base percentage this season. Matt Mervis has led Miami with seven home runs and 14 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added two home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Connor Gillispie, who is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 24.0 innings pitched this year. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 14-12 this season after they dropped game one in this series on Friday night. Seattle led 1-0 in the second inning, but they fell apart in the sixth and allowed two more in the eighth in the loss. The Mariners recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Polanco, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Seattle started Gilbert, who allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 3.0 innings, and Lawrence allowed 10 hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Blue Jays. Seattle has won four of their last six games, and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 117 runs with a .228 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with nine home runs and 16 RBIs, while Randy Arozarena has added four home runs and 17 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Luis Castillo, who is 2-2 with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 26.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mariners will beat the Marlins 

• The Mariners have won each of their last five games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Marlins have lost 11 of their last 13 night games following a road win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Marlins will beat the Mariners

• The Marlins have won each of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mariners’ last five home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mariners’ last eight night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Randy Arozarena has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Luis Castillo has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four games at T-Mobile Park.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Mariners as home favorites.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances.
• Luis Castillo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 20 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has scored a run in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.

Marlins vs Mariners Prediction 

Seattle had two things go wrong for them on Friday night, as Gilbert left the game with an injury, and they allowed eight runs to Miami for the loss. The Mariners are 8-6 at home this year, while the Marlins are 4-5 on the road. Miami is towards the bottom of the MLB in team ERA, and they will start Gillispie, who has allowed 12 earned runs in his last 10 innings. Seattle is going with Castillo, who has allowed nine earned runs over his last two starts (9.1 IP). Both pitchers are struggling, and each side has been surprisingly efficient at the plate. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 7.5