San Diego Padres (57-51) vs LA Dodgers (63-44)
Game Info: Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres +118 / LA Dodgers -139 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet Tuesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Tyler Glasnow will get the start for the Dodgers and is 8-6 with a 3.47 ERA and 147 strikeouts this season. In his career, Glasnow is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 13 strikeouts against the Padres. Matt Waldron will get the nod for San Diego here and Waldron is 6-9 with a 3.64 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. In his career, Waldron is 0-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 10 strikeouts against the Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
The Los Angeles Dodgers will be looking to start the series on the right foot after salvaging a 6-2 win in Sunday’s series finale against the Astros. Despite the win, the Dodgers still dropped the series and took a series loss for the first time since the all-star break after taking out the Giants and Red Sox in back-to-back series.
Dodgers Looking To Pull Away In NL West
Shohei Ohtani has 128 hits including a team-high 32 home runs, 28 doubles and 76 RBIs with a .314 batting average while Mookie Betts has 86 hits with 16 doubles, 3 triples, 10 homers and 40 RBIs of his own, but continues to miss time because of an injury. Teoscar Hernandez also has 22 home runs with 69 RBIs and a team-high 124 strikeouts. Betts also has 9 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 27 stolen bases. Freddie Freeman also has 67 RBIs with 26 doubles and Will Smith has added 19 doubles, 15 home runs and 56 RBIs.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The road team has won seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
- The Padres have lost six of their last seven games at Petco Park.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games following a road loss.
- The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Padres’ last five games.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres will try to keep their momentum going after a third straight series win to start the second half despite an 8-6 loss in Sunday’s series finale against the Orioles. The win added to the run of wins over the Guardians and Nationals in the second half.
Padres Trying To Close Distance On Dodgers
Jurickson Profar has 113 hits along with a .301 batting average and 17 doubles with 18 homers and 67 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 60 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 14 home runs and 56 RBIs but also has 87 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 83 hits with 3 triples, 14 doubles, 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and a team-high 20 stolen bases.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last five games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Padres following a win.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Padres following a win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction
I’m on the Padres here. I get why the Dodgers would be favored, but I’m not a huge Tyler Glasnow fan. Matt Waldron’s pitched better on the road, but he’s still a decent option and the Padres have been tearing the cover off of the baseball against righties in the second half so far. I think there’s a ton of value on San Diego here so give me the Padres.