LA Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 7/14/24

David Racey

2 years ago

Detroit Tigers (46-50) vs LA Dodgers (56-40)

Game Info: Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 1:40 pm (Comerica Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers -141 / LA Dodgers +106 — Over/Under:

In this article we will formulate a LA Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 14th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

The Dodgers recent form and recent player performance
The Tigers recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Los Angeles
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
Recent betting trends in games played between Los Angeles and Detroit
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Los Angeles and Detroit

Dodgers Pitching has Been an Issue

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 56-40 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Los Angeles won the first game in this series by a score of 4-3 on Friday, but they blew a big lead on Saturday for the loss. Prior to this series, the Dodgers were swept by the Phillies in three games, won two out of three against the Dodgers, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Los Angeles is just 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are first in the NL West.

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average. The Dodgers offense has scored 476 runs with a .254 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Shohei Ohtani is batting .314 with 29 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Dodgers this season. Los Angeles has allowed at least five runs in 11 of their last 14 games.

Tigers Offense Continues to Produce

The Detroit Tigers are 46-50 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Detroit lost game one in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 11-9 on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Tigers won three out of four against the Guardians, swept the Reds in three games, and lost two out of three against the Twins. Detroit is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the AL Central.

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 409 runs with a .233 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .271 with 17 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored at least five runs in seven of their last nine games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Ryan Yarbrough, who is 3-2 with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 59.0 innings pitched this year. Yarbrough has allowed six earned runs in his last five appearances (9.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Beau Brieske, who is 1-0 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 30.2 innings pitched this season. Brieske has allowed six earned runs in his last 7.2 innings of work out of the bullpen.

Why the Dodgers will beat the Tigers

The Dodgers have won each of their last eight road games following an extra innings loss.
The Tigers have lost nine of their last 10 home games after going to extra innings.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against American League opponents following a road loss.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against National League opponents following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Dodgers’ last six games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Tigers’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last four road games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances.
Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances.
Riley Greene has recorded at least one Double in each of the Tigers’ last three games against NL West opponents at Comerica Park.
Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL West opponents.
Riley Greene has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL West opponents.
Carson Kelly has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Riley Greene has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against the Tigers.
Mookie Betts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Max Muncy has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against AL Central opponents.
Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.637) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Detroit Tigers rank T26th in the league for steals this season (43).
The Detroit Tigers rank 5th in the league for walks allowed this season (259).
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBI’s this season (461).
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.436).