Baltimore Orioles (13-18) vs Kansas City Royals (17-16)
Game Info: Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 7:15 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -112 / Kansas City Royals -108 — Over/Under: 9
The Kansas City Royals and the Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Kansas City Royals will send out Kris Bubic for the start here, and Bubic is 2-2 with a 2.25 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bubic is 1-0 with a 3.31 ERA and 17 strikeouts against the Orioles. Tomoyuki Sugano will get the start for the Orioles here, and Sugano is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. This will be Sugano’s second career start against the Royals.
Kansas City Royals Recap
The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-0 loss at the hands of the Orioles to fall to 17-16 on the year. After this series, the Royals will head home for a series against the Chicago White Sox.
Royals Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Bobby Witt Jr. has a team-high 39 hits with 12 doubles and 9 stolen bases, while Vinnie Pasquantino has 22 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs, and 20 RBIs. Maikel Garcia added 32 hits with 9 doubles, 2 home runs, and 11 RBIs, and Salvador Perez also has 2 home runs and 16 RBIs, but also has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Royals with 24 strikeouts so far this season.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Royals have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Orioles have lost nine of their last 12 games as favorites following a win.
- The Royals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Saturday home games against American League opponents.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit at least one home run in four of the Royals’ last eight road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Salvador Perez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Mark Canha has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Royals’ last seven road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Kris Bubic has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Saturday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of his 19 previous Saturday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Kris Bubic has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Steals (9) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles look to build on their win over the Royals from Friday’s series opener to improve to 13-18 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.
Orioles Win Back-To-Back Games
Cedric Mullins has a team-high 27 hits so far this season as well as 5 doubles, 6 home runs, and 20 RBIs with 5 stolen bases and a .278 batting average, while Adley Rutschman has 22 hits with a pair of doubles, 4 homers, and 9 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 18 hits with 4 doubles, and Tyler O’Neill has 14 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, and 2 homers with 10 RBIs. Jordan Westburg added 4 home runs, and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 27 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn also chipped in 21 hits with 3 doubles and 5 home runs with 11 RBIs, and Heston Kjerstad added 3 homers and 12 RBIs.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Royals have lost each of their last seven Saturday road games against American League opponents.
- The home team has won six of the Orioles’ last seven games.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents following a win.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Jorge Mateo has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last seven Saturday night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- Dylan Carlson has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Royals.
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
- Ryan O’Hearn has recorded a Single in each of the Orioles’ last five home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last nine night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last five games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction
I’m on the Royals here. I get the case to be made for the Orioles at home, but the problem here is that they’re against a lefty in Bubic, and Baltimore’s been ridiculously bad against lefties so far this year. Bubic has been a nice surprise for the Royals’ rotation so far this season, and I think KC gets their revenge after a slow start to the series on Friday. Give me the Royals on the road in this one.