Seattle Mariners (52-46) vs Houston Astros (50-46)
Game Info: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 10:10 pm (T-Mobile Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -125 / Houston Astros +105 — Over/Under: 7
In this article we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 19th at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:
- The Astros recent form and recent player performance
- The Mariners recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle
- Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Seattle
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Houston and Seattle
Astros Hope Their Strong Play Continues
The Houston Astros are 50-46 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Houston is coming off of a series loss against Texas, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Astros swept the Marlins in three games, lost two out of three against the Twins, and won three out of four against the Blue Jays. Houston is 10-5 in their last 15 games and they are just one game behind Seattle in the AL West.
The Houston pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 457 runs with a .262 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Alex Bregman is batting .256 with 12 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston has allowed three runs or fewer in six of their last seven games.
Mariners Continue to Struggle
The Seattle Mariners are 52-46 this season and they have split their last six games. Seattle is coming off of a series loss against the Angels, where they dropped three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Mariners won both games against the Padres, lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. Seattle is 5-9 in their last 14 games, but they are leading the AL West.
The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 379 runs with a .219 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .216 with 20 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hunter Brown, who is 7-6 with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 98.1 innings pitched this year. Brown has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Luis Castillo, who is 8-9 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 117.1 innings pitched this season. Castillo has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five outings.
Why the Astros will beat the Mariners
- The Astros have won eight of their last nine games as road underdogs following a home loss.
- The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 12 Friday games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Friday games.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games as favorites against the Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Astros’ last nine road games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last six games at T-Mobile Park.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Castillo has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Mariners as favorites against AL West opponents.
- Jorge Polanco has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Castillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Mariners as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mariners’ last six games against AL West opponents.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Mariners’ last four night games.
- Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL West opponents at T-Mobile Park.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jose Altuve has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Astros as road underdogs.
- Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last six night games.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 11 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one total base in each of the Astros’ last 11 games against AL West opponents.
- Victor Caratini has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances with the Astros as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.531) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.219).
- The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1013).
- The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (669).
- The Houston Astros rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (349).
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Houston comes into this game just 22-25 on the road this season, but they have played great baseball over the last month and they are right on the heels of Seattle in the AL West. The Mariners are 30-18 at home this season, which is one of the better home records in baseball, but their offense is very inconsistent. The Seattle pitching staff is one of the best in the MLB, but that offense is really holding them back. Castillo has had a very solid season up to this point, but Brown has been strong for the most part recently. I really don’t like how Seattle has looked over the last few weeks and I think Houston takes it to them in this series. My Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for the Astros to get the win.