Guardians vs Brewers Prediction 6/17/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 17th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 39-34 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-1 on Tuesday night. Cleveland tied the game in the seventh inning, but that was the only offense they could find in the loss. The Guardians recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Arias, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Cecconi allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings, while Gaddis picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Cleveland won two games against the Tigers, but lost all three against the Yankees before that. 

This season, Cleveland has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 290 runs with a .231 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with seven home runs and 34 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez (OUT) has added 10 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 9-3 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 86.2 innings pitched this year. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 44-26 this season after they won game one by a score of 2-1 last night. Milwaukee scored once in the fourth inning and once in the seventh inning to get the low scoring win. The Brewers recorded four hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Turang, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI in the game. Gasser allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Ashby got the win and Megill picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost two out of three against the Athletics before that. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.41 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 372 runs with a .254 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 13 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 11 home runs and 43 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Sproat, who is 1-4 with a 5.70 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 60.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last 11 home games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against AL Central opponents.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Guardians at American Family Field.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won each of their last three games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last three night games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against American League opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites against the Guardians have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Guardians’ last four games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Guardians’ last nine games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Brewers’ last 11 games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Brice Turang has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in five of his last seven road appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Gavin Williams ranks T5th in the league for total Strikeouts (99) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (64).
• The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (372).
• The Guardians rank 27th in the league for runs scored this season (290).
• The Guardians rank T4th in the league for strikeouts this season (663).

Guardians vs Brewers Prediction 

Milwaukee was able to get a very low scoring win to start this series on Tuesday and they have allowed one run or fewer in three of their last four games. The Brewers are 24-14 at home this year, while the Guardians are 20-17 on the road. Cleveland has lost three of their last five games and they have scored three or fewer in four of those five. The Guardians are starting Williams, who has allowed six earned runs and eight hits in his last 10.1 innings, while Sproat has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 7.5