Cleveland Guardians (92-69) vs Detroit Tigers (88-76)
October 5, 2024 at 01:08 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -140 / Detroit Tigers +120 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday in MLB game 1 of the ALDS at Progressive Field. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are coming off a sweep of the Astros and are in the ALDS for the first time since 2014. The Detroit Tigers have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Detroit Tigers have won 12 of their last 13 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jake Rogers leads the Detroit Tigers with 3 hits and 1 RBI, while Andy Ibanez and Matt Vierling have combined for 4 hits and 4 RBI. The winner of this series will meet the Royals or the Yankees in the ALCS.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians won 92 games this season and are in the ALDS for the second time in the last 3 years. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Cleveland Guardians have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 173 hits and 118 RBI, while Andres Gimenez and Steven Kwan have combined for 287 hits and 107 RBI.
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Pick Matchup
Tyler Holton gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 7-2 with a 2.19 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. Holton is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 1 strikeout in his postseason career. Holton is 2-0 with a 0.93 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.
Tanner Bibee gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 12-8 with a 3.47 ERA and 187 strikeouts this season. Bibee will make his postseason debut when he takes the mound today. Bibee is 1-3 with a 5.28 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers. Bibee suffered losses to the Dodgers and Rays but then secured a win against the Reds in his latest start.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won eight of their last nine games as road underdogs.
- The Guardians have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games at Progressive Field.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Tigers following a loss.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five-day games at Progressive Field against American League opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games as favorites against the Tigers.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded a Double in three of the Guardians’ last four games.
- Steven Kwan has recorded an RBI in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Lane Thomas has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Saturday appearances against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Saturday appearances against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez ranks 5th in the league in Steals (41) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Matt Vierling has recorded an RBI in each of the Tigers’ last three games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in each of his last six Saturday day appearances with the Tigers as underdogs.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one total base in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Guardians.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Guardians.
- Javier Baez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (621).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (416).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.61).
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
The Cleveland Guardians should be favored at home with Tanner Bibee on the mound, who is coming off a fantastic September. However, the Detroit Tigers are one of those teams that keep finding ways to win, and I’m going to keep grabbing the plus money until the magic runs out. Who knows how Bibee will handle the postseason for the first time, A. J. Hinch keeps pressing all the right buttons with his pitching staff. Give me the plus money with the Tigers.